AI Weather Synopsis | ClearToFly

This synopsis is generated by AI and may contain inaccuracies.

Excellent flying conditions across nearly all zones. Skies clear to few, visibility unrestricted, temperatures 22–30°C. High CAPE (1500–3900 J/kg) over France, Benelux, and Germany signals isolated afternoon convection risk — isolated thunderstorm cells possible, particularly over northern France and Benelux where CAPE exceeds 2000 J/kg. Winds light at 4–10kt average, but gusts locally to 55–60kt in convective cells over Germany North and Benelux — treat any developing Cu with caution. British Isles has FEW–SCT ceilings 3000–5000ft with westerly winds averaging 10kt, gusts to 50kt. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie across the continent.

Convective activity developing across Germany, Benelux, and northern France as CAPE remains 1000–3900 J/kg. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with heavy rain (up to 50mm/h locally) and dangerous gusts — recorded maxima 48–61kt in Germany Central/North and Benelux. Ceilings remain mostly above 3000ft (FEW–SCT) but locally lower under cells. Visibility reduced in precipitation in affected areas. Southern Germany, Alps, and Czech Republic remain largely clear. France South and Adriatic clear with light winds. Avoid convective areas; GAFOR Oscar/Charlie away from storms, locally X-Ray under cells.

Post-convective cloud spreading across Germany North (BKN–OVC 1000–3000ft, up to 48% below 3000ft), Denmark (BKN–OVC, 50–69% below 3000ft with fog patches), and Poland (BKN, 20–54% below 3000ft). Fog and low stratus widespread in Denmark — up to 32% below 500ft in places. Germany Central has FEW–SCT 1000–3000ft. Germany South, Alps, Czech Republic, Adriatic, and France remain largely clear with good visibility. Rain reported across Poland. Winds light 3–10kt. Thermals limited. GAFOR Delta–Oscar over northern Germany/Denmark/Poland; Charlie elsewhere.

Northern Germany clears significantly (FEW below 3000ft, good visibility). Denmark retains BKN–OVC 1000–3000ft (26–50% below 3000ft). Poland improving but still BKN aloft. France North and South, Benelux, Alps, Adriatic, and Czech Republic largely clear with excellent visibility. Convective development building over Germany Central and South (CAPE 1500–3600 J/kg) — showers and isolated thunderstorms developing, gusts to 41–64kt locally. British Isles mostly clear with light winds. GAFOR Charlie over most of the continent; Delta–Oscar Denmark; locally X-Ray under convective cells in Germany Central/South.

Active convection over Germany South and Central (CAPE 1400–3800 J/kg, thunderstorms confirmed, gusts to 52–66kt). Czech Republic also seeing thunderstorm activity with gusts to 64kt. Germany North and Benelux clearing nicely. Denmark still BKN 1000–3000ft. France North and South clear with light winds and high CAPE (3500–3800 J/kg) — isolated evening storms possible. Alps seeing increasing shower activity (11–20% of zone, gusts to 60kt). Adriatic clear. Icing risk in convective tops. Avoid Germany South/Central and Czech Republic — GAFOR X-Ray under cells; Oscar/Charlie elsewhere.

Widespread shower and post-frontal cloud across most zones. Germany North: fog and low cloud affecting 20–35% of zone, ceilings 500–3000ft in places. Denmark: OVC conditions, 60–96% below 3000ft, fog widespread (up to 48% below 5km visibility) — largely closed. Germany Central: FEW–SCT 1000–3000ft, thunderstorms in 20–37% of zone, gusts to 62kt. Germany South: mostly clear but showers in 50% of zone, CAPE building to 2300 J/kg. Alps: showers, gusts to 51kt, CAPE 1300–3000 J/kg. France North: SCT 1000–3000ft (9–14% below 3000ft), showers. Benelux: SCT–BKN, showers widespread. Poland: SCT–BKN 1000–5000ft, mostly dry. Czech Republic: FEW–SCT, mostly clear. British Isles: SCT–BKN 1000–3000ft, showers. GAFOR Delta–Oscar most zones; X-Ray Denmark; locally X-Ray under storms Germany Central/South.

Active convection across Germany Central (CAPE 1500–2500 J/kg, 35–44% of zone with significant weather, gusts to 49kt), Germany South (CAPE 1600–2300 J/kg, 4–34% significant wx, gusts to 52kt), and Alps (CAPE 2700–3200 J/kg, 60% of zone, gusts to 52kt). France North: SCT–BKN 3000–5000ft, showers in 40% of zone. Benelux: SCT 3000ft, showers. Denmark: improving, SCT–BKN 1000–3000ft, showers developing. Germany North: mostly clear, FEW. British Isles: SCT–BKN 1000–3000ft, showers, winds 10kt average. Poland and Czech Republic: mostly clear with FEW–SCT. Adriatic: clear, high CAPE (2700–3200 J/kg), gusts to 52kt — afternoon storms likely. GAFOR Charlie/Oscar Germany North, Poland, Czech; Delta–Oscar elsewhere; locally X-Ray under storms.

Convective activity continuing and spreading. Germany South: 29–51% of zone with significant weather, CAPE 1200–1900 J/kg, gusts to 52kt. Alps: 28–35% significant wx, CAPE 2600–2800 J/kg, gusts to 52kt. Germany Central: BKN 3000–5000ft, 40–51% significant wx, gusts to 36kt. France North: FEW–SCT 3000–5000ft, showers. Benelux: FEW–SCT, showers easing. Denmark: SCT–BKN 1000–3000ft, rain developing. British Isles: SCT 3000ft, showers, winds 9–10kt. Germany North: FEW, good visibility. Poland: FEW–SCT, mostly dry. Adriatic: FEW–SCT, showers, CAPE 2600–3600 J/kg, gusts to 49kt. Conditions trending toward deterioration overnight. [ICON-EU ~7km from here]

Widespread post-frontal showers and low cloud across most zones. Germany North: SCT–BKN 1000–3000ft, showers, visibility locally below 5km (19%). Germany Central: BKN 1000–3000ft (25% below 3000ft), heavy showers (avg 11mm/h), visibility reduced in 20–28% of zone. Germany South: BKN 3000–5000ft, heavy showers (avg 9mm/h), gusts to 49kt. Alps: SCT–BKN 1000–5000ft, heavy showers, gusts to 58kt — icing risk at altitude. Denmark: BKN–OVC 1000–3000ft (31–57% below 3000ft), showers, visibility reduced up to 30%. Czech Republic: BKN–OVC (21–35% below 3000ft), heavy rain (60–76% of zone). France North: SCT–BKN 3000–5000ft, showers. Benelux: FEW–SCT, dry. British Isles: SCT–BKN 1000–3000ft, rain. Adriatic: SCT 1000–3000ft, showers, gusts to 42kt. Trending toward gradual improvement through the day.

Gradual improvement across most zones as frontal system clears eastward. Germany North: FEW–SCT, good visibility. Germany Central: FEW–SCT 3000–5000ft, showers easing (4–14% significant wx). Germany South: SCT 3000–5000ft, showers persisting (12–20%), gusts to 54kt. Alps: SCT 1000–5000ft, showers, gusts to 57kt — icing risk. Czech Republic: BKN 1000–3000ft (8–21% below 3000ft), rain widespread (49–61%). Denmark: BKN 1000–3000ft (27–31% below 3000ft), showers. France North: SCT–BKN 3000–5000ft, rain in 6–14% of zone. Benelux: FEW–SCT, dry and improving. British Isles: BKN–OVC 1000–3000ft (21–26% below 3000ft), rain. Adriatic: SCT 1000–3000ft, showers, gusts to 43kt. Conditions easing but still active over Alps, Czech Republic, and British Isles.

Further improvement across Germany and Benelux — mostly FEW–SCT, good visibility, light winds. France North: BKN 1000–3000ft (16–22% below 3000ft), rain in 26–35% of zone, winds 7–9kt. Czech Republic: FEW–SCT, rain easing. Denmark: SCT–BKN 1000–3000ft, showers. British Isles: BKN–OVC 1000–3000ft (33–37% below 3000ft), heavy rain (49–54% of zone), winds 10kt — conditions declining ahead of next system. Adriatic: FEW–SCT, showers, CAPE 2100 J/kg, gusts to 42kt. Alps: FEW–SCT, showers, gusts to 54kt. Pressure gradient tightening over British Isles signaling approaching front.

Second frontal system arriving. British Isles: OVC 500–1000ft (BKN–OVC, 57–70% below 3000ft, 14% below 500ft), heavy rain, visibility below 5km in 32–48% of zone — widespread difficult conditions, pressure near 1002hPa. Benelux: BKN–OVC 1000–3000ft (32–42% below 3000ft), heavy rain (46–63% of zone), visibility reduced. France North: BKN–OVC 3000–5000ft (28–35% below 3000ft), heavy rain (32% of zone), winds 9–12kt. Germany North: FEW–SCT, rain in 26–30% of zone, otherwise good. Germany Central/South: FEW–SCT, rain in 14–16% of zone. Alps: SCT–BKN 1000–3000ft (12–18% below 3000ft), thunderstorms in 34–40% of zone, gusts to 34kt. Adriatic: SCT–BKN 1000–3000ft, showers, gusts to 41kt. Czech Republic: FEW, mostly dry. Denmark: FEW–SCT, fog patches.

Frontal system deepening. British Isles: BKN–OVC 1000–3000ft (55–57% below 3000ft, 12–14% below 500ft), heavy rain, visibility below 5km in 25–32% — very difficult conditions, pressure 1002hPa. Benelux: BKN–OVC (31–42% below 3000ft), heavy rain (39–47% of zone). France North: BKN 3000–5000ft (18–28% below 3000ft), heavy rain, winds 12–13kt with gusts to 39kt — 66–88% of zone with gusts over 20kt. France South: BKN 3000–5000ft (13–17% below 3000ft), showers, winds 11–13kt, gusts to 51kt. Alps: BKN 1000–3000ft (10–12% below 3000ft), heavy rain/thunderstorms (40–62% of zone), gusts to 37kt. Germany North/Central: FEW–SCT, rain in 21–30% of zone. Adriatic: SCT–BKN, thunderstorms in 27% of zone, gusts to 44kt.

Frontal conditions widespread. British Isles: BKN 1000–3000ft (31–40% below 3000ft, 14–15% below 500ft), heavy rain, winds 10kt average, gusts to 41kt — 36–39% of zone with gusts over 20kt. Benelux: SCT–BKN 1000–3000ft (14–22% below 3000ft), heavy rain, visibility reduced in 11–15%. France North: SCT–BKN 3000–5000ft, heavy rain, winds 12–13kt, gusts to 40kt. France South: SCT–BKN 3000–5000ft, heavy rain (avg 7–8mm/h), winds 12–13kt, gusts to 51–53kt — 77–78% of zone with gusts over 20kt. Alps: BKN 3000–5000ft (7% below 3000ft), very heavy rain (avg 18–23mm/h, max 121–131mm/h), gusts to 48kt, CAPE 1500–1900 J/kg — severe conditions. Adriatic: SCT–BKN, heavy rain, gusts to 64kt — dangerous. Germany Central: FEW–SCT, showers. Germany South: FEW–SCT, rain in 48–62% of zone, gusts to 48kt.

Frontal system still active across much of the domain. Germany North: BKN 1000–3000ft (28% below 3000ft, 2% below 500ft), rain in 23% of zone, visibility below 5km in 14%. Germany Central: BKN 3000ft (47% below 3000ft), heavy rain (avg 18mm/h), visibility reduced in 18%, gusts to 34kt. Germany South: BKN–OVC 3000–5000ft (28% below 3000ft), very heavy rain (avg 28mm/h, max 107mm/h), gusts to 43kt — severe. Alps: BKN 3000–5000ft (6% below 3000ft), very heavy rain (avg 39mm/h, max 207mm/h), CAPE 1120 J/kg, gusts to 58kt — extreme precipitation, icing risk. Czech Republic: BKN 3000–5000ft (38% below 3000ft), heavy rain (avg 19mm/h), gusts to 49kt. France North: BKN 3000ft (31% below 3000ft), rain. Benelux: BKN 3000–5000ft (40% below 3000ft), rain, winds 11kt. Denmark: SCT–BKN, rain, winds 11kt. British Isles: BKN 3000–5000ft (39% below 3000ft), rain, winds 10kt. Adriatic: FEW–SCT, showers, CAPE 1873 J/kg, gusts to 53kt. Conditions expected to gradually ease through the day.

Northern Germany ▶

SKC across the zone. Excellent visibility. Temperatures 24–32°C. Winds SW averaging 7kt, locally gusting to 61kt in isolated convective cells — CAPE up to 1526 J/kg signals significant convective risk. Thermal tops to 2900ft AGL, max 9800ft. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie, but isolated severe gusts possible in thunderstorm cells.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 16.3-30.5°C

Wind: 6.9kt (max 16.7kt), gusts 28.2kt

CAPE: max 1255 J/kg

Convective activity developing. Ceilings remain mostly clear but up to 9% of the zone sees high cloud. Precipitation in roughly 30% of the zone, locally 51mm/h — heavy showers or thunderstorms. CAPE easing but still up to 1185 J/kg. Gusts to 61kt in cells — dangerous for light aircraft. Winds NW 6–7kt average. Conditions declining through the evening.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 1.1%

Temp: 15.2-29.0°C

Wind: 6.8kt (max 25.4kt), gusts 47.6kt

CAPE: max 1134 J/kg

Post-frontal clearance underway but patchy. Up to 52% of the zone below 3000ft, 31% below 5km visibility — fog and low stratus lingering, especially coastal areas. Rain affecting most of the zone (91% precip probability). Winds WNW 6–9kt. Ceilings lifting through the morning. GAFOR Delta to Oscar in clearer areas, Mike/X in fog patches.

Ceil <1000ft: 8.5%

Ceil <3000ft: 38.6%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.4-18.8°C

Wind: 7.0kt (max 16.5kt), gusts 26.6kt

Conditions improving markedly. Ceilings mostly above 5000ft — only 4% below 3000ft. Visibility good, no significant reduction. Winds NW 9–10kt, gusting to 34kt with 60% of the zone seeing gusts above 20kt — notable for light aircraft. Temperatures 19–26°C. GAFOR predominantly Charlie. Thermal tops 1800–2500ft.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.3%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 15.5-24.0°C

Wind: 10.0kt (max 19.4kt), gusts 34.3kt

Continued improvement. Nearly all ceilings above 5000ft. Visibility excellent. Winds NW 5–10kt, gusts 26–31kt easing. Temperatures 18–26°C. GAFOR Charlie across most of the zone. Thermals active to 2500ft.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 15.0-25.6°C

Wind: 9.1kt (max 18.9kt), gusts 30.6kt

Low cloud and fog returning overnight — up to 24% of the zone below 500ft, 35% below 3000ft, and 33% below 5km visibility. Dominant weather code fog. Showers affecting some areas (wx% up to 33%). Winds light W 3–4kt. Temperatures 7–22°C. GAFOR Mike to Oscar depending on location; fog patches may be slow to clear.

prev: Delta → Charlie

Ceil <500ft: 8.4%

Ceil <1000ft: 17.7%

Ceil <3000ft: 26.9%

Vis <5km: 10.4%

Temp: 11.1-17.3°C

Wind: 3.4kt (max 10.9kt), gusts 19.9kt

Fog and low cloud largely clearing. Only 20% below 3000ft, visibility near-excellent. Scattered showers (wx% 3%, ww=80) in about 21% of the zone. Winds W 4–6kt, gusts to 21kt. Temperatures 18–25°C. GAFOR predominantly Oscar to Charlie. Thermals to 2600ft.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.3%

Ceil <3000ft: 12.5%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 12.4-24.4°C

Wind: 4.6kt (max 11.6kt), gusts 17.3kt

Mostly clear ceilings — under 2% below 3000ft. Visibility good. Scattered showers possible (wx% ~1%). CAPE locally to 604 J/kg — isolated convective activity. Winds NW 4–6kt. Temperatures 17–25°C. GAFOR Charlie. Pressure easing to 1011hPa.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.6%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.2%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 12.3-24.7°C

Wind: 5.5kt (max 13.5kt), gusts 23.7kt

Patchy low cloud and fog in places — up to 21% below 3000ft, 19% below 5km visibility. Showers ongoing (wx% ~3%, ww=80). Winds W 5–8kt. Temperatures 13–20°C. Conditions generally manageable but fog patches require caution. GAFOR Oscar to Delta in affected areas.

Ceil <1000ft: 1.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 12.1%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 12.3-17.0°C

Wind: 6.5kt (max 14.6kt), gusts 20.9kt

Conditions good. Nearly all ceilings above 5000ft. Visibility excellent. Isolated showers possible (wx% ~1%). Winds W 8kt, gusts to 24kt with up to 7% of zone gusting above 20kt. Temperatures 17–23°C. GAFOR Charlie. Thermals to 2900ft.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.8%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.0-22.4°C

Wind: 8.0kt (max 14.0kt), gusts 22.9kt

Clear ceilings, excellent visibility. Isolated showers (wx% ~0.4%). Winds light W 4–7kt. Temperatures 18–23°C. GAFOR Charlie. Pressure holding around 1012hPa.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.0-23.4°C

Wind: 6.8kt (max 12.1kt), gusts 22.8kt

Rain spreading across the zone — 97% precip probability, 26–30% of the zone with significant precipitation (rain, ww=61). Ceilings mostly above 5000ft but high cloud extensive (85% below 10000ft). Visibility good. Winds SE 5–6kt. Temperatures 16–22°C. Pressure falling to 1009hPa. Conditions declining ahead of approaching low.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 12.8-18.3°C

Wind: 4.9kt (max 12.9kt), gusts 17.0kt

Persistent rain (wx% 21–30%, ww=61). Up to 86% of the zone below 10000ft cloud, but ceilings mostly above 3000ft. Visibility good. Winds SE 6–7kt. Temperatures 18–26°C. Pressure 1008hPa. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie despite rain. Trend: conditions gradually declining.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 2.3%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 12.9-25.7°C

Wind: 6.8kt (max 12.8kt), gusts 19.5kt

Rain continuing (wx% 17–21%, ww=61). Ceilings mostly above 5000ft, 55–59% below 10000ft. Visibility generally good, slight reduction in 0.2% of zone. Winds ESE 6–7kt. Temperatures 19–26°C. Pressure 1006hPa and falling. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.2-26.3°C

Wind: 6.6kt (max 14.2kt), gusts 18.7kt

Rain widespread — 99% precip probability, 23% of zone with significant rain. Ceilings lowering: 28% below 3000ft, 14% below 5km visibility. Winds SSE 7kt, gusting to 25kt. Temperatures 16–19°C. Pressure 1006hPa. GAFOR Delta to Oscar; conditions declining further as low approaches.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 15.7-26.7°C

Wind: 6.6kt (max 17.5kt), gusts 0.0kt

Central Germany ▶

Excellent conditions across the zone. Ceilings clear, visibility good. Temperatures 25–33°C with thermals topping 3000–5900ft AGL — expect moderate turbulence below thermal tops. CAPE up to 2322 J/kg signals isolated convective risk by afternoon; winds light at 4kt average but gusts locally to 57kt possible near any developing cells. GAFOR Charlie. Monitor for afternoon thunderstorm development.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 18.9-32.3°C

Wind: 4.1kt (max 13.0kt), gusts 21.2kt

CAPE: max 1783 J/kg

Convective activity increasing. Ceilings remain mostly clear but up to 8% of the zone below 10000ft cloud. Visibility declining in 4% of the zone below 5km near showers. Winds averaging 5kt but gusts to 55kt possible in 25% of the zone — dangerous for light aircraft near storms. CAPE 482–1835 J/kg. Precipitation in 30% of the zone. GAFOR Oscar/Charlie away from cells; locally X-Ray near storms.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 2.8%

Temp: 14.5-32.7°C

Wind: 4.6kt (max 26.9kt), gusts 48.0kt

CAPE: max 1498 J/kg

Post-convective morning with lingering showers (rain and showers dominant, 60% of the zone reporting precipitation). Ceilings mostly above 3000ft — FEW below 3000ft (19%), SCT below 5000ft (26%). Visibility good in most areas, reduced below 5km in 5%. Winds light 3–6kt, gusts to 44kt possible in isolated shower cells. CAPE up to 1480 J/kg — further convection possible. GAFOR Oscar/Charlie, locally Delta near showers.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.8%

Ceil <3000ft: 19.4%

Vis <5km: 1.4%

Temp: 12.0-21.4°C

Wind: 3.6kt (max 11.9kt), gusts 44.5kt

Convective development building strongly — CAPE 1480–3567 J/kg, highest of the weekend. Ceilings mostly clear (only 2% below 3000ft) but 33% of the zone seeing showers/thunderstorms. Winds averaging 7kt, gusts to 41kt in 38% of the zone. Temperatures 22–33°C. Thermal tops 2200–4200ft AGL. GAFOR Charlie in clear areas; locally Delta/Mike near convective cells. Thunderstorm risk significant — plan carefully.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 16.4-30.9°C

Wind: 6.8kt (max 15.6kt), gusts 35.6kt

CAPE: max 2719 J/kg

Active convective evening. CAPE 3397–3821 J/kg — significant thunderstorm risk. Ceilings mostly clear (3–16% below 10000ft) but 5% of the zone reporting significant weather. Gusts to 66kt possible — dangerous. Winds averaging 3–7kt. Precipitation ongoing in 65–71% of the zone. Avoid flight near convective cells. GAFOR Charlie in clear sectors; X-Ray near storms.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.2%

Temp: 16.8-32.6°C

Wind: 6.8kt (max 20.6kt), gusts 48.8kt

CAPE: max 3821 J/kg

Unsettled morning with active weather. Thunderstorms and showers widespread — 20–37% of the zone with significant weather, dominant code thunderstorms. Ceilings FEW below 3000ft (6%), SCT below 5000ft (10%). Visibility reduced below 5km in 3–6% of the zone. Winds light 2–5kt average but gusts to 62kt in storm cells. CAPE up to 2463 J/kg. GAFOR Oscar/Charlie in clear areas; locally X-Ray near storms.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.2%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.1%

Vis <5km: 4.1%

Temp: 12.5-24.7°C

Wind: 2.8kt (max 18.8kt), gusts 56.1kt

CAPE: max 1186 J/kg

Heavy shower and thunderstorm activity continuing — 36–44% of the zone with significant weather. Precipitation in 82–100% of the zone. Ceilings FEW–SCT below 3000ft (6–11%), SCT–BKN below 5000ft (10–27%). Visibility mostly good but reduced in 3% near showers. Winds 5–6kt average, gusts to 49kt in 42% of the zone. CAPE 1545–2463 J/kg. GAFOR Oscar in clear areas; Delta/Mike near cells.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 7.7%

Vis <5km: 0.3%

Temp: 16.6-27.7°C

Wind: 5.6kt (max 12.5kt), gusts 32.9kt

CAPE: max 1717 J/kg

Showers and thunderstorms persisting — 40–51% of the zone with significant weather. Ceilings FEW–SCT below 3000ft (9–15%), SCT below 5000ft (21–27%). Precipitation in 100% of the zone. Winds 4–6kt, gusts to 36kt. CAPE 1161–1584 J/kg. Conditions declining compared to afternoon. GAFOR Oscar in clearer areas; Delta/Mike near active cells.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 9.1%

Vis <5km: 0.4%

Temp: 15.6-25.5°C

Wind: 5.7kt (max 13.6kt), gusts 32.9kt

CAPE: max 1469 J/kg

Overcast and wet morning. Precipitation in 100% of the zone with heavy rates (avg 11mm/h). Ceilings SCT below 3000ft (25%), SCT–BKN below 5000ft (17–37%), BKN below 10000ft (54–60%). Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 20% of the zone, below 8km in 25%. Winds light 4–6kt, gusts to 40kt. No convective risk. GAFOR Delta/Oscar across most of the zone.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 18.5%

Vis <5km: 3.9%

Temp: 10.6-17.5°C

Wind: 5.0kt (max 11.1kt), gusts 36.7kt

Conditions improving through the afternoon. Ceilings mostly above 3000ft (only 5% below), BKN below 10000ft (55–62%). Precipitation continuing at 100% coverage but visibility good — below 5km in under 1%. Winds 6kt average, gusts to 32kt. Temperatures 18–23°C. GAFOR Oscar/Charlie in most areas, Delta where lower cloud persists.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 2.1%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 12.7-22.7°C

Wind: 5.9kt (max 10.3kt), gusts 28.8kt

Further improvement. Ceilings mostly clear — only 33–49% below 10000ft, virtually none below 5000ft. Visibility excellent. Precipitation still 100% coverage (light rain dominant) but significant weather in only 0–3% of the zone. Winds light 2–5kt. Temperatures 19–21°C. GAFOR Oscar/Charlie across most of the zone.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.1%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 14.4-24.6°C

Wind: 5.1kt (max 11.6kt), gusts 23.5kt

Mostly clear ceilings — only 33–38% below 10000ft, negligible below 5000ft. Visibility good. Light rain in 14–16% of the zone. Winds light 3–5kt from south (180°), pressure falling to 1009–1010hPa indicating approaching low. Temperatures 16–20°C. Conditions generally good but trending toward deterioration as low approaches.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.1%

Vis <5km: 0.5%

Temp: 13.4-18.9°C

Wind: 2.6kt (max 6.3kt), gusts 24.6kt

Ceilings mostly clear, BKN below 10000ft (33–48%). Visibility excellent. Rain and showers in 6–14% of the zone. Winds 5kt average from south, gusts to 28kt. Pressure 1008–1009hPa. Temperatures 20–26°C. Conditions holding but low pressure system approaching from south — monitor for deterioration.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.2%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 16.0-26.4°C

Wind: 5.1kt (max 10.2kt), gusts 27.8kt

Showers increasing — 22–29% of the zone with significant weather, showers dominant. Ceilings FEW below 3000ft (1–2%), SCT below 5000ft (5–6%), BKN below 10000ft (35–44%). Visibility slightly reduced below 5km in under 1%. Winds 3–5kt from SE, gusts to 24kt. CAPE up to 762 J/kg — isolated convection possible. Conditions declining.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.2%

Vis <5km: 0.3%

Temp: 14.7-26.4°C

Wind: 4.6kt (max 9.6kt), gusts 24.4kt

CAPE: max 762 J/kg

Significant deterioration. Heavy rain widespread — 46% of the zone with significant weather, rain dominant. Ceilings BKN below 3000ft (47%), BKN–OVC below 5000ft (59%), OVC below 10000ft (73%). Visibility reduced below 5km in 18%, below 8km in 22%. Winds 5kt average, gusts to 34kt. Pressure 1004–1011hPa. Conditions trending toward Delta/Mike across much of the zone.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 16.8-29.8°C

Wind: 3.5kt (max 10.3kt), gusts 0.0kt

CAPE: max 1188 J/kg

Southern Germany ▶

Excellent conditions across the zone. SKC, visibility unrestricted. Temperatures 24–33°C. Light southerly winds averaging 5kt, gusts to 30kt in isolated spots (3% of zone). CAPE up to 1337 J/kg — isolated afternoon convection possible near the Alps. Thermals active to 3800–9400ft. GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 1.9-32.8°C

Wind: 4.7kt (max 18.2kt), gusts 29.0kt

CAPE: max 1337 J/kg

Conditions remain clear as heating eases. SKC, visibility unrestricted. Winds backing NW, averaging 3–5kt, gusts to 31kt in a small fraction of the zone. CAPE fading below 500 J/kg in most areas. Thermals persisting to 9800ft locally. GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 2.2-32.5°C

Wind: 5.1kt (max 18.2kt), gusts 29.4kt

CAPE: max 719 J/kg

Mostly clear start. SKC across nearly all the zone, visibility good. Light westerly winds 2–4kt; however, isolated gusts to 35–42kt noted in a small fraction — likely orographic enhancement near Alpine foothills. Slight rain risk in under 2% of the zone. CAPE building to 1700 J/kg locally. GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 1.5-24.1°C

Wind: 2.4kt (max 14.1kt), gusts 36.3kt

Convective development expected. Ceilings remain above 5000ft across most of the zone (FEW high cloud, under 5% below 10000ft). Visibility good in most areas, reduced below 5km in up to 2% of the zone. Showers developing with CAPE 1700–2450 J/kg — significant convective risk. Gusts to 64kt in up to 28% of the zone; dangerous for light aircraft. GAFOR Oscar/Charlie, locally Delta near storms.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 2.6-31.8°C

Wind: 5.6kt (max 16.4kt), gusts 41.0kt

CAPE: max 2243 J/kg

Active convection. Thunderstorms affecting the zone with showers widespread — about 20% of the zone reporting significant weather. Ceilings still mostly above 5000ft but high cloud increasing (7% below 10000ft). Gusts to 64kt in up to 32% of the zone — dangerous. CAPE 1400–2300 J/kg. Conditions declining into evening. GAFOR Oscar, locally Mike/X near cells.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 1.3%

Temp: 3.1-33.9°C

Wind: 5.9kt (max 24.1kt), gusts 60.2kt

CAPE: max 1994 J/kg

Post-convective morning with lingering showers. Ceilings mostly above 3000ft (FEW below 3000ft, up to 2% of zone). Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 3% of the zone. Gusts to 43–49kt in up to 19% of the zone. CAPE still up to 2300 J/kg — further convection possible. GAFOR Oscar, locally Delta.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.1%

Vis <5km: 0.2%

Temp: 1.7-27.2°C

Wind: 3.2kt (max 18.3kt), gusts 47.4kt

CAPE: max 750 J/kg

Widespread shower activity with 96% of the zone reporting precipitation. CAPE 1600–2300 J/kg — significant convective risk. Ceilings mostly above 5000ft (FEW below 5000ft, 4% of zone). Visibility good across the zone. Gusts to 42–52kt in up to 79% of the zone — dangerous for light aircraft. Thermals active to 9000–9800ft. GAFOR Oscar, locally Delta/Mike near cells.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 10.1-30.9°C

Wind: 7.2kt (max 14.1kt), gusts 41.9kt

CAPE: max 1582 J/kg

Showers and convection continuing, nearly all the zone precipitating. FEW–SCT cloud below 10000ft (11–35% below 10000ft), FEW below 5000ft (2–12%). Visibility good. Gusts to 39–52kt in 21–73% of the zone — dangerous. CAPE 1200–1940 J/kg. Conditions remain unsettled. GAFOR Oscar, locally Delta near active cells. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.5%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 7.8-27.5°C

Wind: 6.6kt (max 15.5kt), gusts 50.9kt

CAPE: max 1844 J/kg

Heavy rain overnight continuing into morning. Ceilings lowering — SCT–BKN below 10000ft (45–59% below 10000ft), FEW–SCT below 5000ft (16–22%). Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 13% and below 8km in up to 16% of the zone. Gusts to 43–49kt in 15–37% of the zone. Conditions declining significantly. GAFOR Oscar, locally Delta. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 6.4%

Vis <5km: 2.2%

Temp: 3.4-18.6°C

Wind: 4.9kt (max 13.5kt), gusts 45.0kt

Rain easing but still widespread. Ceilings improving — FEW–SCT below 10000ft (39–45%), mostly above 5000ft (84–96% of zone). Visibility good. Gusts to 49–54kt in 28–37% of the zone — still dangerous. Temperatures recovering to 17–26°C. Gradual improvement expected. GAFOR Oscar/Charlie. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.1%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 4.2-25.5°C

Wind: 6.3kt (max 13.4kt), gusts 51.8kt

CAPE: max 586 J/kg

Conditions improving markedly. Ceilings mostly above 5000ft (FEW below 10000ft, 6–24%). Visibility unrestricted. Light winds 2–5kt, gusts to 34–48kt in a small fraction (2–12%). Showers still possible but significant weather affecting under 2% of the zone. GAFOR Charlie. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 6.1-26.6°C

Wind: 5.3kt (max 12.2kt), gusts 48.1kt

CAPE: max 512 J/kg

Persistent rain. Ceilings mostly above 5000ft (FEW below 10000ft, 19–26%). Visibility good — below 5km in under 1% of the zone. Light southerly winds 2–4kt, gusts to 26–30kt. Temperatures 15–23°C. Icing risk at altitude where temperatures 0 to -15°C. GAFOR Oscar/Charlie. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.5%

Temp: 4.7-19.3°C

Wind: 2.2kt (max 8.1kt), gusts 26.4kt

Rain continuing. Ceilings FEW–SCT below 10000ft (26–40%), mostly above 5000ft. Visibility good. Winds SSW 4kt, gusts to 30–33kt in up to 14% of the zone. CAPE building to 750 J/kg — isolated convective showers possible. Conditions declining slightly through the afternoon. GAFOR Oscar. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.3%

Vis <5km: 0.2%

Temp: 4.9-27.0°C

Wind: 4.3kt (max 12.8kt), gusts 33.4kt

CAPE: max 752 J/kg

Rain intensifying. Ceilings FEW–SCT below 10000ft (41–42%), FEW below 5000ft (7–8%). Visibility declining — below 5km in up to 6% and below 8km in up to 10% of the zone. Gusts to 42–48kt in up to 11% of the zone. Conditions deteriorating. GAFOR Oscar, locally Delta. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.5%

Vis <5km: 1.6%

Temp: 5.4-27.4°C

Wind: 4.4kt (max 12.6kt), gusts 42.0kt

CAPE: max 854 J/kg

Significant deterioration. Heavy rain. Ceilings collapsing — BKN below 3000ft (28% of zone), SCT–BKN below 5000ft (48%), OVC below 10000ft (91%). Visibility below 5km in 15% and below 8km in 22% of the zone. Gusts to 43kt in 27% of the zone. Temperatures 12–16°C. GAFOR Delta/Mike across much of the zone. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 1.1-29.9°C

Wind: 3.9kt (max 15.8kt), gusts 0.0kt

CAPE: max 1007 J/kg

Alps ▶

Excellent conditions across the Alps. Ceilings above 10,000ft over virtually the entire zone; visibility unrestricted. Temperatures 22–34°C at valley level. Thermals active to 3,000–9,800ft AGL. CAPE 2,100–2,300 J/kg signals significant convective risk — afternoon thunderstorms possible, especially on south-facing slopes. Winds light at 6kt average, locally up to 19kt with gusts to 35kt in 5% of the zone. GAFOR predominantly Charlie, but convective cells developing.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: -1.4-33.3°C

Wind: 6.1kt (max 18.2kt), gusts 33.4kt

CAPE: max 2264 J/kg

Conditions remain largely clear with ceilings above 10,000ft over nearly all of the zone. CAPE rising to 2,500 J/kg — thunderstorm risk persists into early evening. Winds easing to 3–6kt average, gusts to 33kt possible locally. Precipitation chance low but isolated convective cells cannot be excluded. Thermals collapsing after sunset. GAFOR predominantly Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.2%

Temp: -1.1-33.4°C

Wind: 6.0kt (max 18.2kt), gusts 29.5kt

CAPE: max 2316 J/kg

Mostly clear start with ceilings above 10,000ft across almost the entire zone. Fog patches possible in isolated valleys (dominant WW code fog). Winds light at 2–3kt average, but gusts to 44kt recorded in parts — likely foehn or channelled flow. CAPE building to 800–2,000 J/kg by late morning. Precipitation chance low early but increasing. GAFOR predominantly Charlie. Gust spikes to 44kt are hazardous for light aircraft in affected valleys.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: -2.3-24.9°C

Wind: 2.1kt (max 14.1kt), gusts 40.8kt

CAPE: max 823 J/kg

Largely clear with ceilings above 10,000ft over 98–99% of the zone. Convective development accelerating — CAPE 2,000–2,700 J/kg with showers in up to 2.5% of the zone. Temperatures 21–35°C. Winds 3–6kt average; gusts to 46kt in up to 8% of the zone — dangerous for light aircraft. Thermals active to 3,300ft AGL. GAFOR predominantly Charlie, but afternoon convection building rapidly.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: -1.9-33.0°C

Wind: 5.0kt (max 19.5kt), gusts 43.2kt

CAPE: max 2698 J/kg

Convective activity increasing significantly. Showers affecting up to 11% of the zone; CAPE 2,300–2,600 J/kg. Ceilings remain above 10,000ft over 98% of the zone but locally lower near cells. Gusts to 60kt in parts — extremely dangerous. Winds average 4–6kt but locally up to 30kt. Precipitation rates up to 51mm/h possible. Visibility locally reduced near showers. Conditions deteriorating in convective areas.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.7%

Temp: -1.3-34.4°C

Wind: 5.6kt (max 23.8kt), gusts 60.1kt

CAPE: max 2597 J/kg

Residual convective activity with showers in 30% of the zone. CAPE 1,300–3,000 J/kg — convection re-initiating early. Ceilings above 10,000ft over 98% of the zone; visibility good except near cells. Winds light at 2–5kt average; gusts to 51kt in parts — hazardous. Precipitation rates up to 51mm/h. GAFOR predominantly Charlie to Oscar, but active shower cells require avoidance.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: -3.0-25.9°C

Wind: 2.4kt (max 18.3kt), gusts 50.7kt

CAPE: max 1887 J/kg

Significant convective outbreak. CAPE 2,700–3,200 J/kg; showers affecting up to 28% of the zone with thunderstorms possible. Precipitation rates 0.5–1.1mm/h average, up to 51mm/h locally. Ceilings mostly above 5,000ft (97% of zone) but locally lower near cells. Gusts to 52kt in up to 38% of the zone — widespread hazard for light aircraft. Winds average 5–6kt. Avoid convective areas; GAFOR Charlie/Oscar in clear sectors, X-Ray near cells.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 4.3-32.4°C

Wind: 6.0kt (max 14.1kt), gusts 49.0kt

CAPE: max 3015 J/kg

Convective activity at peak — showers in up to 34% of the zone, CAPE 2,600–2,800 J/kg. Precipitation rates 1–3mm/h average, up to 23mm/h locally. Ceilings above 5,000ft over 98% of the zone but locally lower near storms. Gusts to 52kt in up to 38% of the zone. Visibility reduced near cells. Conditions remain hazardous in convective areas. Trending toward continued instability overnight.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.1%

Vis <5km: 0.3%

Temp: 3.4-32.9°C

Wind: 4.6kt (max 15.5kt), gusts 50.9kt

CAPE: max 2840 J/kg

Widespread precipitation — nearly 100% of the zone reporting rain/showers. Ceilings lowering: about 39% of the zone below 10,000ft, 13% below 5,000ft. Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 10% of the zone. Precipitation rates 6–7mm/h average, up to 47mm/h. Gusts to 58kt in parts — dangerous. CAPE 1,000–2,400 J/kg; convection still active. Conditions significantly declined from Sunday. Thermals active to 1,200–2,700ft AGL.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 3.0%

Vis <5km: 5.5%

Temp: 1.0-23.9°C

Wind: 3.4kt (max 24.1kt), gusts 58.2kt

CAPE: max 2158 J/kg

Heavy precipitation continues across virtually the entire zone. Ceilings below 10,000ft in about 39% of the zone, below 5,000ft in 13%. Visibility generally good (below 5km in under 2%). Precipitation rates 7–8mm/h average, up to 47mm/h. CAPE 1,700–2,200 J/kg; showers and embedded convection. Gusts to 57kt in parts — hazardous. Winds average 4–5kt. Conditions remain difficult with heavy rain.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.6%

Vis <5km: 0.4%

Temp: 2.1-30.2°C

Wind: 4.6kt (max 14.6kt), gusts 56.6kt

CAPE: max 2170 J/kg

Precipitation easing slightly but still affecting 100% of the zone. Ceilings lifting — 18% below 10,000ft, only 4% below 5,000ft. Visibility good except near heavy showers. Precipitation rates 8mm/h average. CAPE 1,800 J/kg; convective risk persists. Gusts to 54kt locally, winds shifting southerly (188°). Conditions gradually improving but still active convection in parts.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.2%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 3.8-32.5°C

Wind: 4.7kt (max 13.0kt), gusts 54.4kt

CAPE: max 1784 J/kg

Deteriorating conditions with heavy rain and thunderstorms (dominant WW thunderstorm). Ceilings lowering: 54% of the zone below 10,000ft, 26% below 5,000ft, 18% below 3,000ft. Visibility below 5km in 15% of the zone, below 8km in 17%. Precipitation rates 11–12mm/h average, up to 83mm/h. Winds light at 2–4kt but gusts to 34kt. Pressure falling to 1,002–1,013hPa. Conditions significantly declined — widespread difficult flying.

Ceil <500ft: 0.3%

Ceil <1000ft: 2.7%

Ceil <3000ft: 17.8%

Vis <5km: 14.5%

Temp: 1.4-22.3°C

Wind: 2.3kt (max 15.1kt), gusts 28.0kt

CAPE: max 537 J/kg

Continued heavy rain and showers with significant convection. Ceilings: 59% below 10,000ft, 26% below 5,000ft, 12% below 3,000ft. Visibility below 5km in 6% of the zone. Precipitation rates 12–14mm/h average, up to 100mm/h — extreme. CAPE 1,300–1,400 J/kg; thunderstorms in up to 62% of the zone. Gusts to 37kt in up to 20% of the zone. Conditions remain very difficult across much of the Alps.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.4%

Ceil <3000ft: 9.8%

Vis <5km: 5.9%

Temp: 2.1-27.2°C

Wind: 4.6kt (max 17.4kt), gusts 37.3kt

CAPE: max 1335 J/kg

Heavy rain dominating — 100% precipitation, rates 18–23mm/h average, up to 131mm/h. Ceilings: 61% below 10,000ft, 17% below 5,000ft, 7% below 3,000ft. Visibility significantly reduced — below 5km in 16% of the zone, below 8km in 23%. CAPE 1,500–1,900 J/kg; convection active. Gusts to 48kt in up to 22% of the zone. Pressure 1,009hPa. Conditions at their worst of the period — widespread difficult flying.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 6.6%

Vis <5km: 12.0%

Temp: 0.4-27.3°C

Wind: 4.5kt (max 17.7kt), gusts 42.0kt

CAPE: max 1919 J/kg

Heavy rain persisting with 100% precipitation, rates averaging 39mm/h, up to 207mm/h — extreme flooding risk. Ceilings: 58% below 10,000ft, 16% below 5,000ft, 6% below 3,000ft. Visibility below 5km in 17% of the zone, below 8km in 22%. Winds averaging 5kt, gusts to 58kt in 26% of the zone. Pressure 1,005–1,016hPa. Conditions expected to gradually ease as pressure recovers, but still very challenging early Wednesday.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: -1.9-30.1°C

Wind: 5.2kt (max 15.8kt), gusts 0.0kt

CAPE: max 2092 J/kg

Northern France ▶

Excellent conditions. Ceilings effectively clear across the entire zone, visibility unrestricted. Temperatures 28–36°C. Winds light southerly averaging 5kt, gusts locally to 33kt. Significant convective energy (CAPE up to 3400 J/kg in 32–37% of the zone) — thunderstorm development possible, especially inland. Thermals active to 3700ft. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 16.5-34.4°C

Wind: 5.3kt (max 20.0kt), gusts 31.5kt

CAPE: max 2748 J/kg

Thunderstorm risk increasing as CAPE peaks to 3900 J/kg. Ceilings remain mostly clear but isolated convective cells possible with heavy showers (max 51mm/h recorded). Winds backing northeasterly, average 4–5kt but locally gusting to 55kt in storm cells — dangerous for light aircraft near convection. Visibility generally good away from storms. Monitor closely.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 16.1-34.9°C

Wind: 5.0kt (max 18.9kt), gusts 32.5kt

CAPE: max 3801 J/kg

Post-convective clearing underway. Ceilings mostly clear — FEW below 500ft in under 1% of the zone, likely patchy fog. Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 4% of the zone (fog/mist). Dominant weather code fog. Temperatures 17–30°C. Light winds averaging 2–3kt. CAPE residual up to 2800 J/kg in parts. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie, localised Oscar near fog patches.

Ceil <500ft: 0.2%

Ceil <1000ft: 0.4%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.5%

Vis <5km: 1.1%

Temp: 11.8-24.1°C

Wind: 2.3kt (max 9.6kt), gusts 26.7kt

CAPE: max 807 J/kg

Excellent conditions. Ceilings clear across virtually the entire zone, visibility unrestricted. Temperatures 25–36°C. Light southerly winds averaging 3–4kt, gusts to 25kt. CAPE building strongly to 3900 J/kg in up to 59% of the zone — afternoon thunderstorm risk significant. Thermals to 3900ft. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie but convective hazard warrants caution.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 17.0-33.8°C

Wind: 3.0kt (max 9.8kt), gusts 18.8kt

CAPE: max 3839 J/kg

Ceilings remain clear across the zone. Temperatures 26–36°C. Winds west-northwesterly, average 4–5kt, locally gusting to 45kt in convective cells. CAPE 3500–3750 J/kg in 38–49% of the zone — active shower and thunderstorm risk continues into the evening. Significant weather in 1–2% of the zone. Thermals to 3900ft. Exercise caution near developing cells.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 16.7-34.9°C

Wind: 4.9kt (max 22.7kt), gusts 45.1kt

CAPE: max 3708 J/kg

Conditions declining. FEW–SCT ceilings developing: 9–14% of the zone below 3000ft, up to 5% below 1000ft. Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 4% of the zone. Showers active (dominant code), precipitation in 20% of the zone. Winds strengthening westerly, averaging 5–9kt, gusts to 37kt with 13% of the zone seeing gusts above 20kt. GAFOR Oscar/Delta in affected areas.

Ceil <1000ft: 3.7%

Ceil <3000ft: 14.2%

Vis <5km: 0.6%

Temp: 12.4-24.7°C

Wind: 6.6kt (max 16.9kt), gusts 33.4kt

CAPE: max 1186 J/kg

Mostly clear ceilings — FEW below 3000ft (9% of zone). Visibility good. Temperatures 20–29°C. Winds westerly averaging 9–11kt, gusts to 39kt with over half the zone seeing gusts above 20kt — hazardous for light aircraft. Showers active in 42% of the zone, precipitation increasing. CAPE moderate (up to 2300 J/kg). Predominantly GAFOR Oscar/Charlie but shower and gust hazard significant.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 3.8%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 14.7-27.4°C

Wind: 10.3kt (max 17.1kt), gusts 31.0kt

CAPE: max 1717 J/kg

Ceilings mostly clear — FEW below 3000ft (under 2%). Visibility good. Temperatures 18–27°C. Westerly winds averaging 8–11kt, gusts to 39kt, over half the zone with gusts above 20kt. Showers ongoing in 43% of the zone. CAPE easing. Conditions broadly flyable but persistent shower activity and strong gusts require caution. Predominantly GAFOR Oscar/Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.4%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 14.8-26.6°C

Wind: 11.0kt (max 20.9kt), gusts 37.3kt

CAPE: max 1862 J/kg

Conditions declining. FEW–SCT ceilings: 11–12% below 3000ft, up to 2% below 1000ft. Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 9% of the zone, below 8km in up to 13% — fog/mist patches (dominant code). Temperatures 13–23°C. Winds southwesterly averaging 4–7kt, gusts to 40kt. Precipitation in 44–46% of the zone. Predominantly GAFOR Oscar, Delta in fog/low-vis areas.

Ceil <1000ft: 1.2%

Ceil <3000ft: 11.8%

Vis <5km: 2.8%

Temp: 11.8-18.7°C

Wind: 4.5kt (max 16.3kt), gusts 34.0kt

FEW–SCT ceilings: 10–11% below 3000ft. Visibility generally good but reduced below 5km in up to 3% of the zone. Temperatures 18–26°C. Winds southwesterly averaging 7–9kt, gusts to 43kt with up to 16% of the zone seeing gusts above 20kt. Rain in 46–51% of the zone (dominant code rain). Significant weather in 6–14% of the zone. Predominantly GAFOR Oscar.

Ceil <1000ft: 1.5%

Ceil <3000ft: 9.6%

Vis <5km: 2.2%

Temp: 13.0-24.7°C

Wind: 8.5kt (max 23.9kt), gusts 40.7kt

Conditions declining further. FEW–SCT ceilings: 16–22% below 3000ft, up to 5% below 1000ft. Visibility reduced below 5km in 2–5%, below 8km in 3–7%. Heavy rain widespread — precipitation in 63–73% of the zone, averaging 2–3mm/h. Significant weather in 26–35% of the zone. Winds southwesterly averaging 7–9kt, gusts to 37kt. Predominantly GAFOR Oscar/Delta, Delta in heaviest rain areas.

Ceil <1000ft: 3.3%

Ceil <3000ft: 15.6%

Vis <5km: 2.0%

Temp: 13.3-26.3°C

Wind: 9.0kt (max 24.5kt), gusts 37.4kt

Deteriorating. SCT–BKN ceilings: 28–35% below 3000ft, 45–47% below 5000ft. Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 8%, below 8km in up to 10%. Heavy and widespread precipitation — virtually the entire zone (98–100%) reporting rain/showers, averaging 8–9mm/h. Significant weather in 32% of the zone. Winds southwesterly averaging 9–12kt, gusts to 33kt. GAFOR Oscar/Delta, Delta/Mike in heaviest areas.

Ceil <500ft: 0.1%

Ceil <1000ft: 4.5%

Ceil <3000ft: 34.6%

Vis <5km: 7.9%

Temp: 10.8-19.2°C

Wind: 9.1kt (max 23.1kt), gusts 33.1kt

Widespread precipitation continues — 100% of the zone reporting rain/showers, averaging 9–10mm/h. SCT ceilings: 18–28% below 3000ft, 35–45% below 5000ft. Visibility generally good (above 5km in most of the zone). Winds averaging 12–13kt, gusts to 39kt with over 65–88% of the zone seeing gusts above 20kt — strong and hazardous for light aircraft. Predominantly GAFOR Oscar/Delta.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 18.1%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.2-22.2°C

Wind: 13.0kt (max 21.6kt), gusts 38.7kt

CAPE: max 595 J/kg

Heavy rain persisting across the entire zone, averaging 10–11mm/h. FEW–SCT ceilings: 4–9% below 3000ft. Visibility generally good. Winds westerly averaging 12–13kt, gusts to 40kt, 70–89% of the zone with gusts above 20kt — very strong, hazardous for light aircraft. Minor convective risk (CAPE up to 700 J/kg). Predominantly GAFOR Oscar but strong winds and heavy rain are significant hazards.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 8.7%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 11.6-22.8°C

Wind: 13.4kt (max 23.7kt), gusts 40.1kt

CAPE: max 698 J/kg

Heavy rain ongoing, entire zone affected, averaging 11mm/h. SCT ceilings: 31% below 3000ft, 41% below 5000ft. Visibility reduced below 5km in 3%, below 8km in 4%. Westerly winds averaging 9kt, gusts to 31kt with 18% of the zone seeing gusts above 20kt. Conditions trending toward improvement from the west. Broad GAFOR Oscar/Delta.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.2%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 15.5-31.8°C

Wind: 4.9kt (max 12.8kt), gusts 0.0kt

CAPE: max 2020 J/kg

Southern France ▶

Excellent conditions. Skies clear across virtually the entire zone, visibility good. Temperatures 27–37°C with strong convective potential (CAPE up to 3150 J/kg). Thermals active to 3000–4300ft AGL. Average winds 6kt from SW, but gusts locally to 33–41kt — light aircraft caution. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.2%

Temp: -1.4-36.0°C

Wind: 6.1kt (max 16.0kt), gusts 33.4kt

CAPE: max 3151 J/kg

Conditions mostly clear but convective risk increasing. CAPE 2250–2970 J/kg with scattered showers developing in 2–8% of the zone. Gusts intensifying to 41–55kt in isolated areas — dangerous for light aircraft. Thermals collapsing but instability persists. Visibility remains good for the majority. GAFOR Charlie, locally Oscar where showers develop.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.7%

Temp: -1.1-36.7°C

Wind: 6.6kt (max 22.1kt), gusts 47.4kt

CAPE: max 2893 J/kg

Patchy low cloud and fog developing overnight. Up to 4% of the zone below 500ft, 12% below 1000ft, and 17% below 3000ft — FEW to SCT ceilings. Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 13% of the zone, fog the dominant weather code. Winds light 3–4kt. Conditions should lift through the morning. GAFOR Oscar/Delta in affected areas.

Ceil <500ft: 1.1%

Ceil <1000ft: 8.3%

Ceil <3000ft: 16.7%

Vis <5km: 8.0%

Temp: -2.3-24.6°C

Wind: 2.5kt (max 9.0kt), gusts 26.8kt

CAPE: max 1194 J/kg

Fog and low cloud clearing. Skies mostly clear, visibility good. Convective activity building strongly — CAPE 2125–2760 J/kg with showers developing; 9% of the zone affected. Temperatures 23–36°C. Gusts to 39kt possible. Thermals to 1300–3600ft AGL. GAFOR Charlie, locally Oscar/Delta near shower cells.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: -1.9-34.2°C

Wind: 5.0kt (max 13.4kt), gusts 21.9kt

CAPE: max 2698 J/kg

Active convection continues. Showers widespread with CAPE 2550–2710 J/kg; 1–5% of the zone with significant weather. Gusts to 57kt in storm cells — dangerous. Winds averaging 5–7kt but locally 20–27kt. Ceilings mostly above 3000ft (99% of zone). Visibility generally good away from cells. GAFOR Charlie/Oscar, locally Delta under showers.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.5%

Temp: -1.3-34.9°C

Wind: 6.6kt (max 26.5kt), gusts 42.9kt

CAPE: max 2662 J/kg

Patchy fog and low cloud returning overnight. Up to 35% of the zone below 3000ft (SCT), 45% below 5000ft. Visibility below 5km in up to 14% of the zone — fog dominant. Winds 5–7kt westerly with gusts to 49–53kt in residual convective areas — caution. CAPE still 960–2530 J/kg. GAFOR Oscar/Delta, locally Mike in fog patches.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.6%

Ceil <3000ft: 32.8%

Vis <5km: 6.0%

Temp: -3.0-24.9°C

Wind: 4.9kt (max 27.5kt), gusts 52.6kt

CAPE: max 1061 J/kg

Conditions improving as fog lifts. Ceilings mostly above 3000ft (87% of zone). Showers active — CAPE 2530–3570 J/kg with 23–27% of the zone convectively active; significant weather in up to 9% of the zone. Winds averaging 7–9kt, gusts to 40–50kt. Temperatures 21–34°C. GAFOR Charlie/Oscar, locally Delta under showers.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 13.2%

Vis <5km: 0.2%

Temp: 5.4-33.1°C

Wind: 7.6kt (max 21.0kt), gusts 42.3kt

CAPE: max 2806 J/kg

[ICON-EU ~7km] Showers continuing, gradually easing. About 7% of the zone below 3000ft (FEW). Significant weather in 5–10% of the zone. Winds averaging 6–9kt, gusts to 41–54kt. CAPE 2690–3570 J/kg — convective risk remains elevated. Trending toward gradual overnight improvement.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.2%

Ceil <3000ft: 7.2%

Vis <5km: 0.2%

Temp: 3.9-33.6°C

Wind: 8.6kt (max 20.3kt), gusts 44.9kt

CAPE: max 2889 J/kg

[ICON-EU ~7km] Patchy fog and low cloud. Up to 18% of the zone below 3000ft (FEW/SCT), visibility below 5km in up to 11% of the zone. Significant weather in up to 15% of the zone. Winds light 4–5kt, gusts to 42–47kt in residual shower areas. Conditions expected to improve through the morning.

Ceil <500ft: 0.2%

Ceil <1000ft: 0.4%

Ceil <3000ft: 15.1%

Vis <5km: 4.2%

Temp: 1.5-24.2°C

Wind: 3.6kt (max 25.0kt), gusts 41.8kt

CAPE: max 964 J/kg

[ICON-EU ~7km] Mostly clear with good visibility. About 11% of the zone below 3000ft (FEW). Showers in roughly 45% of the zone by precipitation coverage but significant weather limited. Winds averaging 5–7kt, gusts to 47–50kt. Temperatures 20–33°C. Convective risk moderate (CAPE ~1640–1740 J/kg).

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 6.6%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 2.9-32.2°C

Wind: 6.1kt (max 19.7kt), gusts 49.9kt

CAPE: max 1642 J/kg

[ICON-EU ~7km] Largely clear skies, good visibility. About 5% of the zone below 3000ft (FEW). Showers affecting roughly half the zone by precipitation coverage. Winds averaging 7kt, gusts to 42–49kt. Temperatures 21–33°C. Conditions generally flyable with shower avoidance required.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 2.1%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 4.4-32.5°C

Wind: 7.3kt (max 21.8kt), gusts 49.3kt

CAPE: max 1543 J/kg

[ICON-EU ~7km] Conditions declining. Widespread precipitation — nearly all the zone affected. Up to 23% below 3000ft (FEW/SCT), 36% below 5000ft. Visibility below 5km in up to 8% of the zone. Winds strengthening to 8–11kt average, gusts to 43–49kt. Significant weather in 26–34% of the zone. Pressure falling toward 1002hPa.

Ceil <1000ft: 1.4%

Ceil <3000ft: 23.0%

Vis <5km: 7.5%

Temp: 1.7-23.0°C

Wind: 8.4kt (max 26.0kt), gusts 43.4kt

CAPE: max 1362 J/kg

[ICON-EU ~7km] Deteriorating further. Near-total precipitation coverage. Ceilings 14–17% below 3000ft (FEW/SCT), 30–32% below 5000ft. Visibility below 5km in 1–2% of the zone. Winds 11–13kt average, gusts to 49–51kt. Significant weather in 34–39% of the zone. Showers and rain widespread — challenging conditions.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 13.2%

Vis <5km: 1.3%

Temp: 3.6-23.9°C

Wind: 12.7kt (max 25.1kt), gusts 51.3kt

CAPE: max 1340 J/kg

[ICON-EU ~7km] Heavy and widespread showers/rain continuing. All of the zone affected by precipitation. Ceilings 10% below 3000ft (FEW), 20–23% below 5000ft. Visibility below 5km in 2–3% of the zone. Winds 12–13kt, gusts to 51–53kt. Significant weather in 20–25% of the zone. Conditions remain difficult.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 9.6%

Vis <5km: 2.7%

Temp: 0.8-25.7°C

Wind: 13.2kt (max 27.0kt), gusts 53.0kt

CAPE: max 1378 J/kg

[ICON-EU ~7km] Persistent heavy rain and showers. All of the zone under precipitation with average 9.8mm/h. About 21% below 3000ft (FEW/SCT), 39% below 5000ft. Visibility below 5km in 11% of the zone. Winds 8kt, gusts to 58kt — dangerous. Significant weather in 13% of the zone. Conditions trending toward gradual improvement later.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: -1.9-33.3°C

Wind: 5.3kt (max 19.2kt), gusts 0.0kt

CAPE: max 2850 J/kg

Benelux ▶

Mostly clear skies — ceilings above 10,000ft across virtually the entire zone. Visibility good. Temperatures 27–33°C with strong convective instability (CAPE up to 3079 J/kg, 47–74% of zone above 500 J/kg). Thunderstorms and severe gusts likely developing; max gusts to 64kt reported in parts of the zone — dangerous for all light aircraft. Thermals active to 2500–3300ft AGL. GAFOR predominantly Charlie, but convective hazard is significant. Avoid areas of developing storms.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.4%

Temp: 16.1-32.6°C

Wind: 7.8kt (max 20.0kt), gusts 32.4kt

CAPE: max 2533 J/kg

Active convection continuing as storms develop. Precipitation affecting 28–66% of the zone with heavy showers (max 58mm/h). Ceilings remain mostly above 3000ft (98% of zone) but visibility declining in 2–7% of the zone below 5km in precipitation. Gusts to 61kt in storm cells — extreme hazard. CAPE still 17–47% of zone above 500 J/kg. Winds averaging 6–8kt but locally violent in cells. Conditions improving after storm passage. GAFOR Oscar/Charlie away from cells, X-Ray in active storms.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 4.5%

Temp: 14.5-32.7°C

Wind: 6.5kt (max 26.9kt), gusts 48.0kt

CAPE: max 3050 J/kg

Post-convective morning. Showers affecting most of the zone (90% precipitation coverage, ww=80). Ceilings mostly above 3000ft (95% of zone), with only 1–6% below 1000ft. Visibility generally good — under 5km in up to 4% of the zone. Winds light at 2–3kt average, gusts to 27kt. CAPE low (up to 1480 J/kg in 26% of zone). Thermal tops 900–2000ft AGL. GAFOR predominantly Oscar/Charlie with localised shower restrictions.

Ceil <1000ft: 1.6%

Ceil <3000ft: 3.6%

Vis <5km: 0.8%

Temp: 13.9-21.1°C

Wind: 3.0kt (max 8.2kt), gusts 18.3kt

Clearing skies after morning showers. Ceilings above 3000ft across virtually the entire zone. Visibility excellent — negligible below 5km. Temperatures recovering to 22–33°C with CAPE building again (26–47% of zone above 500 J/kg, max 3567 J/kg). Showers possible. Light winds 3–4kt average. Thermals active to 1500–2700ft AGL. GAFOR predominantly Charlie. Monitor for afternoon convective redevelopment.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 16.9-29.5°C

Wind: 3.4kt (max 9.5kt), gusts 17.1kt

CAPE: max 2958 J/kg

Warm and largely clear evening. Ceilings above 5000ft across the entire zone. Visibility excellent. Temperatures 24–33°C. CAPE 38–47% of zone above 500 J/kg (max 3821 J/kg) — isolated shower/storm risk persists. Winds light at 4–5kt average. GAFOR Charlie. Convective cells possible but not widespread.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 16.3-32.1°C

Wind: 4.5kt (max 11.2kt), gusts 24.5kt

CAPE: max 3821 J/kg

Active shower regime with westerly flow. Showers affecting nearly all of the zone (98% precipitation coverage, ww=80). Ceilings mostly above 3000ft (87–99% of zone), but 20–40% below 10,000ft. Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 5% of the zone. Significant weather in 10–31% of the zone. Winds 5–7kt average, gusts to 39kt. CAPE moderate (4–11% above 500 J/kg). GAFOR Oscar/Charlie with shower-affected areas Delta/Oscar.

Ceil <500ft: 0.1%

Ceil <1000ft: 0.4%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.3%

Vis <5km: 1.9%

Temp: 13.2-22.3°C

Wind: 5.1kt (max 14.4kt), gusts 28.6kt

CAPE: max 1186 J/kg

Showers continuing under westerly flow. Ceilings mostly above 3000ft (87–99% of zone). Visibility good — negligible below 5km. Temperatures 19–26°C. Winds increasing to 7–10kt average, gusts to 30kt with 7–47% of zone experiencing gusts above 20kt. CAPE 4–11% above 500 J/kg. GAFOR predominantly Oscar/Charlie with shower restrictions locally.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 3.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.2-23.9°C

Wind: 7.7kt (max 17.0kt), gusts 30.0kt

CAPE: max 1380 J/kg

Showers easing (wx coverage 0.1–3%, ww=80). Ceilings above 3000ft across 99% of zone. Visibility excellent. Winds 7–10kt average, gusts to 32kt with 6–48% of zone above 20kt gusts — notable for light aircraft. Temperatures 17–25°C. CAPE negligible. Conditions improving. GAFOR predominantly Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 13.8-24.1°C

Wind: 9.2kt (max 18.2kt), gusts 31.1kt

CAPE: max 1080 J/kg

Settled morning with westerly flow. Ceilings above 3000ft across 97–98% of zone. Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 8% of the zone, below 8km in up to 11% — possible patchy mist/low cloud. No significant precipitation. Winds 6kt average, gusts near 20kt. Temperatures 14–21°C. GAFOR Oscar/Charlie, with localised visibility restrictions in parts.

Ceil <1000ft: 1.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 3.4%

Vis <5km: 0.7%

Temp: 12.3-17.1°C

Wind: 6.1kt (max 13.4kt), gusts 20.4kt

Good conditions. Ceilings above 3000ft across 98% of zone. Visibility excellent — negligible below 5km. Temperatures 17–23°C. Winds 7–8kt average, gusts to 23kt. No significant precipitation or CAPE. Thermals to 2000–2500ft AGL. GAFOR predominantly Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.1%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.1-22.7°C

Wind: 7.6kt (max 13.8kt), gusts 20.9kt

Conditions declining as a frontal system approaches from the west. Ceilings dropping — about 50% of zone below 10,000ft but still above 5000ft in 99% of zone. Visibility good. Rain developing. Winds 6–8kt, gusts to 26kt with 5% of zone above 20kt. Pressure falling to 1008–1014hPa. Trend: deteriorating overnight.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.5-23.8°C

Wind: 7.7kt (max 19.4kt), gusts 25.9kt

Frontal rain affecting the entire zone (100% precipitation, ww=61). Ceilings lowering significantly — about 32–42% of zone below 3000ft, 52–63% below 5000ft, and 94% below 10,000ft. Visibility reduced below 5km in 11–13% of the zone, below 8km in 14–16%. Significant weather in 47–63% of the zone. Winds 8–9kt average, gusts to 28kt with 9–17% of zone above 20kt. Pressure 1002–1009hPa. GAFOR predominantly Delta/Oscar, locally Mike in worst areas.

Ceil <500ft: 0.9%

Ceil <1000ft: 7.6%

Ceil <3000ft: 32.2%

Vis <5km: 11.4%

Temp: 13.3-17.8°C

Wind: 8.2kt (max 20.2kt), gusts 26.9kt

Frontal rain persisting (100% precipitation, ww=61). Ceilings 31–42% below 3000ft, 59–63% below 5000ft. Visibility below 5km in 13–15% of zone. Significant weather in 39–47% of zone. Winds 9kt average, gusts to 29kt with 17–29% of zone above 20kt. Temperatures 17–23°C. Conditions remain challenging. GAFOR predominantly Delta/Oscar with localised Mike.

Ceil <500ft: 3.3%

Ceil <1000ft: 8.4%

Ceil <3000ft: 30.9%

Vis <5km: 14.6%

Temp: 13.6-22.7°C

Wind: 9.2kt (max 19.6kt), gusts 28.9kt

Frontal system slow to clear. Heavy rain/showers (100% precipitation, ww=80, max 36mm/h). Ceilings improving slightly — 14–22% below 3000ft, 19–37% below 5000ft. Visibility below 5km in 11–15% of zone. Significant weather in 30–46% of zone. Winds 8kt average, gusts to 32kt. Slight improvement trend but conditions remain restricted. GAFOR Delta/Oscar.

Ceil <500ft: 4.7%

Ceil <1000ft: 9.2%

Ceil <3000ft: 21.7%

Vis <5km: 15.1%

Temp: 13.4-21.4°C

Wind: 8.6kt (max 22.0kt), gusts 31.9kt

CAPE: max 567 J/kg

Gradual improvement as front clears eastward. Ceilings trending lower with 40% of zone below 3000ft and 52% below 5000ft — still significant cloud cover. Visibility mostly good (1% below 5km). Rain/showers continuing. Winds 11kt average, gusts to 31kt with 28% of zone above 20kt — notably breezy. Pressure recovering to 1003–1011hPa. Conditions expected to gradually improve through the morning.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 17.6-30.6°C

Wind: 7.0kt (max 13.8kt), gusts 0.0kt

CAPE: max 2020 J/kg

Denmark ▶

Excellent conditions. Ceilings mostly above 10,000ft (SKC), visibility unrestricted. Winds SW averaging 9–10kt, gusts to 38kt locally — about 35% of the zone seeing gusts above 20kt; light aircraft should note the gusty SW flow. Temps 21–27°C. GAFOR Charlie. Thermals to 2,000–9,800ft.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 15.2-25.4°C

Wind: 9.5kt (max 20.5kt), gusts 37.7kt

Conditions remain good as winds back NW and ease to 6–9kt, gusts to 32kt. Ceilings still mostly above 5,000ft — FEW below 10,000ft. Visibility unrestricted. Slight shower risk (2–4% precip). GAFOR Charlie. Thermals lowering to 1,400–2,300ft as evening cools.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.2%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.7-25.7°C

Wind: 8.4kt (max 16.1kt), gusts 31.9kt

Significant deterioration overnight. A frontal passage brings BKN–OVC ceilings below 3,000ft across 50–70% of the zone, with 1–36% below 1,000ft. Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 12% of the zone (fog/low stratus). Rain reported (14% precip probability, up to 2.6mm/h). Winds W 7–11kt, gusts to 38kt in places — 2–62% of zone gusting above 20kt. GAFOR Delta to Oscar, locally Mike.

prev: Charlie → Delta

Ceil <1000ft: 8.6%

Ceil <3000ft: 59.7%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 11.2-16.1°C

Wind: 8.9kt (max 18.8kt), gusts 32.0kt

Partial improvement as ceilings lift — SCT to BKN below 3,000ft (26–50% of zone), with most above 5,000ft. Visibility good. Winds NW 11–12kt, gusts 35–38kt; 62–88% of zone seeing gusts above 20kt — notable for light aircraft. Temps recovering to 20–22°C. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie over most of zone.

prev: Charlie → Delta

Ceil <1000ft: 1.2%

Ceil <3000ft: 32.3%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.3-21.7°C

Wind: 11.7kt (max 19.9kt), gusts 35.1kt

Ceilings SCT below 3,000ft (26–36% of zone), majority above 3,000ft. Winds NW 8–12kt, gusts 32–37kt; 23–84% of zone with gusts above 20kt. Isolated showers possible. Visibility near-unrestricted. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie. Conditions holding reasonably well into evening.

prev: Charlie → Oscar

Ceil <500ft: 0.1%

Ceil <1000ft: 2.7%

Ceil <3000ft: 27.9%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 12.6-20.6°C

Wind: 11.0kt (max 20.8kt), gusts 36.4kt

Marked deterioration. Fog and low cloud spread across the zone — 60–96% of the zone below 3,000ft, 10–78% below 1,000ft, and up to 23% below 500ft. Visibility below 5km in up to 48% of the zone (fog dominant, ww=45). Winds light W 4–5kt. Precip ongoing. GAFOR Mike to X-Ray in fog-affected areas, Oscar elsewhere. Icing risk near 0°C aloft.

prev: Delta → Mike

Ceil <500ft: 10.2%

Ceil <1000ft: 51.2%

Ceil <3000ft: 91.6%

Vis <5km: 14.1%

Temp: 10.5-15.7°C

Wind: 5.1kt (max 11.8kt), gusts 19.6kt

Fog and low cloud clearing through the afternoon — ceilings lifting, with 11–60% below 3,000ft (SCT to BKN), improving from the morning. Visibility mostly good (2–4% below 5km). Showers developing, precip increasing markedly (up to 19.5mm/h max). CAPE reaching 528 J/kg — convective showers possible. GAFOR Oscar, locally Delta near shower cells.

prev: Charlie → Delta

Ceil <500ft: 0.2%

Ceil <1000ft: 3.9%

Ceil <3000ft: 36.9%

Vis <5km: 1.2%

Temp: 11.6-21.5°C

Wind: 5.2kt (max 11.8kt), gusts 19.1kt

Conditions improving further. Ceilings mostly above 3,000ft — FEW to SCT below 3,000ft (10–14%). Visibility reduced below 5km in 2–5% of zone. Rain spreading (ww=61, 19–23% sig wx, up to 44.6mm/h max — heavy rain in isolated areas). Winds light SW 4–6kt. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie, with caution near heavy rain. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <1000ft: 2.9%

Ceil <3000ft: 10.0%

Vis <5km: 3.8%

Temp: 11.4-19.8°C

Wind: 5.7kt (max 14.1kt), gusts 20.0kt

CAPE: max 565 J/kg

Overcast and wet. Ceilings BKN below 3,000ft (31–57% of zone), with 2–21% below 1,000ft. Visibility below 5km in 3–30% of zone (fog patches). Heavy precipitation ongoing — 93–95% precip probability, averaging 2.8–3.6mm/h, max 49–53mm/h. Showers dominant. Winds W 5–6kt. Conditions declining — GAFOR Delta to Oscar, locally Mike in fog/heavy rain. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <500ft: 0.3%

Ceil <1000ft: 6.9%

Ceil <3000ft: 46.4%

Vis <5km: 8.1%

Temp: 9.1-16.1°C

Wind: 5.6kt (max 14.6kt), gusts 20.9kt

Showers continuing (95% precip probability, 3.6–4.3mm/h avg, max 56mm/h). Ceilings SCT below 3,000ft (27–31%), mostly above 3,000ft. Visibility generally good (1–3% below 5km). Winds W 6–7kt. CAPE building to 546 J/kg — convective showers likely. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie between showers. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <500ft: 0.1%

Ceil <1000ft: 1.6%

Ceil <3000ft: 28.5%

Vis <5km: 1.1%

Temp: 10.1-19.0°C

Wind: 6.5kt (max 14.0kt), gusts 22.9kt

Showers easing slightly but still active. Ceilings FEW to SCT below 3,000ft (10–19%). Visibility good. Winds SW 4–6kt. CAPE up to 748 J/kg — isolated convective cells possible into evening. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <500ft: 0.1%

Ceil <1000ft: 2.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 18.7%

Vis <5km: 0.8%

Temp: 11.0-19.8°C

Wind: 6.1kt (max 12.6kt), gusts 22.8kt

CAPE: max 748 J/kg

Fog patches developing. Ceilings FEW below 3,000ft (6–19%), mostly above 3,000ft. Visibility below 5km in up to 6% of zone. Winds backing SE 4–6kt as pressure falls to 1002–1013hPa — frontal approach. Precip still high (97%). GAFOR Oscar, locally Delta in fog. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <500ft: 0.9%

Ceil <1000ft: 4.4%

Ceil <3000ft: 19.1%

Vis <5km: 5.7%

Temp: 10.4-16.9°C

Wind: 4.1kt (max 12.2kt), gusts 16.0kt

Ceilings mostly clear — FEW below 3,000ft (2–6%), good visibility. Winds SE 6–7kt. Showers possible. Temps 20–22°C. Pressure 1002–1013hPa. GAFOR Charlie to Oscar. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.9%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 12.6-22.2°C

Wind: 7.0kt (max 13.6kt), gusts 19.8kt

Ceilings largely above 5,000ft (SKC to FEW). Visibility unrestricted. Rain developing. Winds SE 7kt, gusts to 22kt (1% of zone above 20kt). Pressure falling — frontal system approaching. GAFOR Charlie. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.1%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 12.8-22.3°C

Wind: 7.2kt (max 15.9kt), gusts 21.9kt

Conditions declining as front arrives. Ceilings FEW to SCT below 3,000ft (11%), with 7% below 1,000ft. Visibility below 5km in 8% of zone. Rain. Winds E 11kt, gusts to 29kt — 31% of zone gusting above 20kt. Pressure 1004–1013hPa. GAFOR Oscar to Delta. [ICON-EU ~7km]

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 14.5-23.0°C

Wind: 8.3kt (max 19.4kt), gusts 0.0kt

Czech Republic ▶

Excellent conditions. Skies virtually clear (SKC), visibility unrestricted. Temperatures 22–29°C. Light NW winds 5–6kt, gusts to 25kt in isolated spots. Thermals active to 4300ft AGL, tops locally near 8000ft. GAFOR Charlie throughout.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 14.2-27.3°C

Wind: 5.2kt (max 11.9kt), gusts 25.5kt

Conditions remain excellent as thermals subside. SKC, visibility unrestricted. Temperatures easing to 18–24°C. Winds light 3–6kt NW, occasional gusts to 26kt. GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.4-28.6°C

Wind: 5.2kt (max 10.6kt), gusts 24.6kt

Deteriorating ahead of approaching frontal rain. Ceilings lowering — FEW below 5000ft, with about 20–34% of the zone below 10000ft. Visibility mostly good but reduced in 1–3% of the zone. Rain affecting 34–42% of the zone (dominant code: rain), with hourly totals up to 13mm. Winds 3–7kt westerly, but gusts to 46kt possible — hazardous for light aircraft. GAFOR Oscar to Delta, locally worse in rain.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 2.4%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 11.4-21.4°C

Wind: 3.2kt (max 12.6kt), gusts 44.5kt

Active convection developing. Showers dominant, rain in 42–58% of the zone, with CAPE reaching 1800 J/kg — significant thunderstorm risk. Ceilings mostly above 3000ft (FEW–SCT below 5000ft). Visibility generally good but locally reduced. Winds averaging 7–11kt NW, gusts to 64kt — dangerous for all GA. GAFOR Oscar to Delta, locally X-Ray under storms.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 3.2%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 12.9-29.9°C

Wind: 9.6kt (max 17.3kt), gusts 39.4kt

CAPE: max 996 J/kg

Thunderstorms and heavy showers persisting. CAPE 1270–1920 J/kg — significant convective risk. Significant weather in up to 18% of the zone (dominant: thunderstorms). Ceilings mostly above 5000ft but locally lower under cells. Gusts to 64kt remain possible — dangerous. Winds easing to 4–11kt NW. GAFOR Delta to X-Ray under active cells.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.7%

Temp: 12.4-28.5°C

Wind: 9.7kt (max 24.1kt), gusts 53.8kt

CAPE: max 1816 J/kg

Post-frontal showers continuing, affecting 64–71% of the zone. Fog patches in up to 4% of the zone. Ceilings mostly above 3000ft (FEW), visibility generally good. CAPE residual up to 2323 J/kg — isolated thunderstorms possible. Winds 2–6kt westerly, gusts to 49kt locally. GAFOR Oscar to Delta, locally worse under showers.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 10.4-21.4°C

Wind: 2.7kt (max 10.6kt), gusts 36.6kt

CAPE: max 750 J/kg

Showers widespread, affecting nearly all of the zone. CAPE 1240–2320 J/kg — active convection. Ceilings mostly above 5000ft (FEW below 10000ft in ~15–22%). Visibility good in most areas. Winds 6–7kt westerly, gusts to 49kt. Up to 51% of the zone seeing gusts above 20kt. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie, locally Delta/X-Ray under storms.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 16.6-28.6°C

Wind: 7.3kt (max 12.8kt), gusts 38.5kt

CAPE: max 1523 J/kg

Showers and convection continuing across the entire zone. Significant weather in 9–37% of the zone. Ceilings FEW–SCT below 3000ft in up to 9%, mostly above 5000ft. Visibility generally good. CAPE 1040–1420 J/kg. Winds 3–7kt, gusts to 36kt. Conditions gradually trending toward improvement overnight. GAFOR Oscar to Delta.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.1%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 15.6-27.0°C

Wind: 6.1kt (max 11.3kt), gusts 34.8kt

CAPE: max 1406 J/kg

Heavy and widespread rain (100% precip coverage, 9–13mm/h). Ceilings lowering significantly — SCT to BKN below 3000ft (21–35%), SCT to BKN below 5000ft (44–53%), OVC below 10000ft (81–86%). Visibility reduced in 6–27% of the zone. Winds 4–7kt NW, gusts to 40kt. Significant weather in 61–76% of the zone. GAFOR Delta to Mike, locally Oscar.

prev: Charlie → Oscar

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 28.2%

Vis <5km: 17.1%

Temp: 9.9-19.4°C

Wind: 5.4kt (max 12.3kt), gusts 36.7kt

Heavy rain persisting (100% coverage, 13–14mm/h). Ceilings improving slightly — FEW–SCT below 3000ft (8–21%), SCT–BKN below 5000ft (28–49%). Visibility mostly good (reduced in 1–6%). Winds 7kt NW, gusts to 37kt, 27–33% of zone gusting above 20kt. Significant weather in 49–61% of the zone. Conditions gradually lifting through the afternoon.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 13.6%

Vis <5km: 2.2%

Temp: 10.0-23.4°C

Wind: 6.9kt (max 16.5kt), gusts 35.7kt

CAPE: max 750 J/kg

Rain easing but still widespread (100% coverage, ~15mm/h accumulated). Ceilings mostly above 3000ft (FEW below, 1–3%). Visibility good in most areas. Significant weather reducing to 8–34% of the zone. Winds 3–6kt NW, gusts to 37kt. Trend improving toward evening.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 3.4%

Vis <5km: 1.0%

Temp: 10.5-23.7°C

Wind: 6.0kt (max 15.3kt), gusts 36.7kt

CAPE: max 901 J/kg

Rain totals high but active precipitation easing (significant weather near 0–2%). Fog patches possible in up to 6% of the zone. Ceilings mostly above 3000ft (FEW below 5000ft). Visibility generally good. Winds light 2–4kt southerly. Temperatures 16–20°C. Conditions trending toward a quieter period.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.4%

Ceil <3000ft: 4.3%

Vis <5km: 5.5%

Temp: 11.8-18.5°C

Wind: 2.3kt (max 6.3kt), gusts 21.7kt

Largely dry and clearing. SKC to FEW below 10000ft. Visibility unrestricted. Temperatures 20–27°C. Light southerly winds 4kt. Thermals to 2200–4000ft AGL. Quiet and flyable.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 16.2-26.7°C

Wind: 4.2kt (max 8.1kt), gusts 20.8kt

Dry and clear. SKC, visibility unrestricted. Temperatures 21–23°C. Light SE winds 4kt, gusts to 26kt isolated. Slight rain signal in 0–3% of the zone. Conditions remain settled. Pressure falling slowly toward 1008hPa.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 16.5-27.3°C

Wind: 4.2kt (max 9.2kt), gusts 19.5kt

Significant deterioration expected. Heavy rain (19mm/h avg) affecting the entire zone. Ceilings lowering — SCT below 3000ft (38%), BKN below 5000ft (59%), OVC below 10000ft (76%). Visibility reduced in 17% of the zone. Significant weather in 70% of the zone. Winds 6kt southerly, gusts to 49kt. Conditions trending toward difficult flying.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 12.4-24.7°C

Wind: 4.5kt (max 10.7kt), gusts 0.0kt

Poland ▶

SKC throughout. Excellent visibility, no precipitation. Temperatures 21–26°C. Westerly winds averaging 7kt, gusting to 23kt in a small fraction of the zone — light aircraft note occasional stronger gusts. Thermals active to 4000–9800ft AGL. GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 14.9-25.4°C

Wind: 7.2kt (max 12.5kt), gusts 22.8kt

SKC, visibility excellent. Winds easing to 3–7kt from WNW, gusts to 22kt isolated. Temperatures 18–27°C. Thermals subsiding. Isolated trace of precipitation possible in far east but negligible. GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 15.5-26.4°C

Wind: 6.2kt (max 13.1kt), gusts 22.0kt

Frontal passage bringing significant deterioration. Rain (dominant) with some showers affecting nearly the entire zone. Ceilings lowering: roughly half the zone below 3000ft, up to 8% below 1000ft. Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 10% of the zone, below 8km in up to 15%. Winds 5–9kt westerly, gusts to 31kt locally. GAFOR Delta to Oscar, locally Mike in heavier rain areas.

prev: Charlie → Delta

Ceil <1000ft: 4.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 42.0%

Vis <5km: 6.0%

Temp: 12.7-19.6°C

Wind: 6.7kt (max 14.8kt), gusts 26.6kt

Post-frontal improvement underway. Ceilings lifting — majority above 3000ft, though 38% still below 3000ft in places. Visibility recovering, mostly good. Showers continuing with isolated thunderstorm risk (CAPE up to 820 J/kg). Winds increasing to 9–11kt NW, gusts 29–34kt — notable for light aircraft. GAFOR Oscar, locally Delta near showers.

prev: Charlie → Oscar

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 11.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 14.4-25.1°C

Wind: 10.5kt (max 18.6kt), gusts 31.7kt

CAPE: max 698 J/kg

Conditions improving markedly. Ceilings mostly above 5000ft (only 4–9% below 5000ft). Visibility good. Shower activity diminishing, wx% near zero. Winds 5–11kt NW, gusts 23–33kt still possible. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.1%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 14.6-24.4°C

Wind: 10.0kt (max 16.9kt), gusts 31.0kt

Mostly settled. FEW to SCT cloud, 13–25% below 3000ft. Visibility good, minor reductions below 5km in under 1% of zone. Winds 5–8kt westerly, gusts to 24kt. Temperatures 13–25°C. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.5%

Ceil <3000ft: 23.3%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.0-19.1°C

Wind: 6.2kt (max 14.5kt), gusts 24.0kt

Good conditions. Ceilings mostly high — only 3–13% below 3000ft. Visibility good with minor reductions (up to 2%) below 5km. Scattered showers possible, CAPE modest. Winds 7–8kt NW, gusts to 27kt in 6–16% of zone. Temperatures 20–27°C. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie.

Ceil <500ft: 0.4%

Ceil <1000ft: 1.6%

Ceil <3000ft: 9.2%

Vis <5km: 2.1%

Temp: 11.2-26.0°C

Wind: 7.7kt (max 12.5kt), gusts 26.3kt

Largely clear, ceilings high. Patchy fog developing in small areas. Winds light 3–7kt, backing SW. Temperatures 16–27°C. GAFOR Charlie, isolated fog patches near low ground.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.6%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.5%

Vis <5km: 0.4%

Temp: 11.1-25.5°C

Wind: 5.6kt (max 10.5kt), gusts 20.7kt

Fog and low cloud risk increasing. Up to 6% of zone below 500ft, up to 14% below 5km visibility. Rain affecting much of the zone (wx% 6–19%, ww=61). Winds very light 2–4kt westerly. Temperatures 12–21°C. GAFOR Delta to Oscar, locally Mike in fog/rain areas.

Ceil <500ft: 1.6%

Ceil <1000ft: 3.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 7.9%

Vis <5km: 3.4%

Temp: 11.1-17.7°C

Wind: 2.5kt (max 9.0kt), gusts 20.1kt

Conditions improving through the afternoon. Ceilings mostly above 3000ft (under 4% below). Visibility good. Rain persisting but lighter (wx% 4–6%). Winds 4–5kt westerly, gusts to 23kt isolated. CAPE up to 567 J/kg — slight convective risk. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.0%

Vis <5km: 0.3%

Temp: 12.1-22.5°C

Wind: 4.6kt (max 10.3kt), gusts 23.0kt

CAPE: max 526 J/kg

Good conditions. SKC to FEW, ceilings high. Visibility excellent. Rain still possible in parts (wx% 3–8%, ww=61). Light winds 3–5kt westerly. CAPE building to 900 J/kg — isolated convection possible. GAFOR Oscar to Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.2%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 11.9-23.5°C

Wind: 4.9kt (max 10.6kt), gusts 20.5kt

CAPE: max 901 J/kg

Mostly clear, ceilings high. Visibility good. Light rain in parts (wx% 2–4%, ww=61). Very light winds 3–4kt southerly. Temperatures 16–24°C. Conditions generally favourable.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.1%

Vis <5km: 0.5%

Temp: 11.4-18.5°C

Wind: 2.6kt (max 9.2kt), gusts 15.3kt

Clear to FEW cloud. Visibility excellent. Scattered rain/showers possible (wx% 4–8%). CAPE up to 696 J/kg — isolated convection. Light southerly winds 4kt. Temperatures 20–26°C. Generally good conditions.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 12.3-25.9°C

Wind: 4.2kt (max 11.5kt), gusts 20.0kt

CAPE: max 696 J/kg

Mostly clear. Showers possible in parts (wx% 3–7%, ww=80). CAPE ~570–600 J/kg. Light easterly winds 4–5kt. Temperatures 19–26°C. Conditions generally good with isolated shower risk.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 12.1-26.4°C

Wind: 4.6kt (max 10.7kt), gusts 19.2kt

CAPE: max 598 J/kg

Mostly clear, only 6% below 10000ft ceiling. Visibility good. Light rain possible (wx% 2%, ww=61). Easterly winds 7kt, gusting to 23kt. Pressure 1004–1012hPa, gradient widening — frontal approach possible. Conditions trending toward deterioration later.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 14.5-22.8°C

Wind: 7.0kt (max 13.3kt), gusts 0.0kt

N. Italy & Adriatic ▶

Excellent conditions across the zone. Ceilings effectively clear (SKC), visibility unrestricted. Temperatures 25–32°C. Winds light easterly averaging 6kt, locally up to 19kt; isolated gusts to 43kt possible in about 6–10% of the zone — watch for Bora/sea-breeze gusts along the Adriatic coast. High CAPE (max 3400 J/kg) with about 30% of the zone above 500 J/kg — isolated afternoon convection possible. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 11.9-31.5°C

Wind: 6.0kt (max 17.0kt), gusts 39.1kt

CAPE: max 3414 J/kg

Conditions remain mostly clear (SKC), visibility good. Winds easing to 3–6kt average, but isolated gusts to 52kt possible — significant convective gust risk in areas where afternoon storms develop. CAPE still elevated (max 3100 J/kg). Precipitation chance low but locally intense if convection fires. Thermals collapsing after sunset. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie with isolated convective hazard.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 10.8-30.7°C

Wind: 5.6kt (max 16.3kt), gusts 36.0kt

CAPE: max 2814 J/kg

Largely clear skies (SKC to FEW), visibility good with minor coastal haze possible (under 2% below 5km). Light winds averaging 2–3kt, variable. Isolated gusts to 43kt remain possible near the coast. CAPE building again (max 2500 J/kg, 17% of zone above 500 J/kg). Fog signal negligible. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <500ft: 0.1%

Ceil <1000ft: 0.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.1%

Vis <5km: 0.3%

Temp: 9.1-25.6°C

Wind: 1.9kt (max 19.2kt), gusts 39.4kt

CAPE: max 1456 J/kg

Clear to FEW ceilings, visibility excellent. Temperatures 25–34°C. Winds light westerly 3–5kt, locally to 16kt; gusts to 36kt in isolated areas. CAPE 2400–3000 J/kg with 17–25% of zone convectively active — scattered afternoon showers possible, mainly over terrain. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie; isolated shower risk inland.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.0-32.4°C

Wind: 4.4kt (max 12.7kt), gusts 22.5kt

CAPE: max 2734 J/kg

Mostly clear (SKC/FEW), visibility good. Temperatures 22–34°C. Winds light 3–5kt. Shower activity continues (ww=80, ~2–3% of zone with significant weather), CAPE still 2300–2600 J/kg. Gusts to 36kt locally. Conditions remain predominantly GAFOR Charlie with isolated convective activity easing through the evening.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 12.5-33.2°C

Wind: 4.8kt (max 14.5kt), gusts 25.5kt

CAPE: max 2597 J/kg

Clear to FEW ceilings, visibility good (under 1% below 5km). Light winds 2–3kt. Shower activity increasing — about 19–23% of the zone reporting precipitation, CAPE 1300–3000 J/kg with up to 57% of the zone above 500 J/kg by late morning. Convective risk building. Up to 7% of the zone with significant weather. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie but shower/storm risk rising.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.0%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 10.7-26.3°C

Wind: 1.9kt (max 11.8kt), gusts 30.3kt

CAPE: max 1887 J/kg

Mostly clear ceilings (FEW below 3000ft in under 1% of zone), visibility excellent. Temperatures 26–35°C. Convective activity intensifying — 50–57% of zone with CAPE above 500 J/kg (max 3200 J/kg), 16–34% of zone reporting precipitation. Showers widespread. Gusts to 49kt in up to 16% of the zone — significant convective hazard. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie but widespread afternoon shower/storm risk.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.2%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 12.4-33.8°C

Wind: 5.3kt (max 14.2kt), gusts 35.5kt

CAPE: max 2948 J/kg

Shower activity at peak — 34–47% of zone precipitating, CAPE 2600–2840 J/kg. Ceilings still mostly clear (FEW below 3000ft in under 3% of zone). Winds averaging 4–7kt but gusts to 49kt in up to 16% of the zone. Significant weather in 1–4% of zone. Conditions declining with increasing convective coverage. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie/Oscar but convective hazard significant.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.5%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 11.1-33.2°C

Wind: 5.7kt (max 14.6kt), gusts 39.3kt

CAPE: max 2840 J/kg

Shower activity very widespread — 64–72% of zone precipitating, averaging 0.8–2.0 mm/h. Ceilings lifting (FEW–SCT below 3000ft in 4–9% of zone). Visibility slightly reduced (1–3% below 5km). Winds averaging 4–6kt, southerly, gusts to 42kt. CAPE 2100–2500 J/kg with 11–28% of zone convectively active. Significant weather in 14–21% of zone. Predominantly GAFOR Oscar/Charlie with active shower/storm risk.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 5.7%

Vis <5km: 1.0%

Temp: 8.3-25.8°C

Wind: 4.5kt (max 24.1kt), gusts 38.6kt

CAPE: max 2468 J/kg

Heavy shower activity continues — 72–76% of zone precipitating, averaging 2.0–2.5 mm/h. Ceilings FEW–SCT below 3000ft (4–9% of zone). Visibility mostly good (under 3% below 5km). Temperatures 22–32°C. Winds 6kt average, southerly, gusts to 43kt in 10–15% of zone. CAPE 2100–2300 J/kg with up to 40% of zone above 500 J/kg. Significant weather in 18–21% of zone. Active convective day.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 6.0%

Vis <5km: 1.3%

Temp: 11.9-31.5°C

Wind: 5.9kt (max 19.4kt), gusts 40.2kt

CAPE: max 2187 J/kg

Shower activity remains high (79–83% of zone precipitating, 2.9–3.2 mm/h average). Ceilings mostly clear (FEW below 3000ft in 1–2% of zone). Visibility good. Winds 4–5kt, southerly, gusts to 42kt in 5–13% of zone. CAPE 2100 J/kg, 43–47% of zone above 500 J/kg. Significant weather in 8–15% of zone. Persistent convective activity through the evening.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 1.2%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 13.1-32.5°C

Wind: 5.1kt (max 15.0kt), gusts 42.1kt

CAPE: max 2119 J/kg

Conditions declining significantly. Heavy precipitation in 89% of zone (5–6 mm/h average, locally 60–70 mm/h). Ceilings lowering — SCT below 3000ft (14–26% of zone), with 28–39% below 5000ft. Visibility reduced in 2–15% of zone below 5km. Winds 5–6kt southerly, gusts to 41kt. Significant weather in 26–29% of zone. GAFOR Oscar/Delta across much of the zone; locally worse.

Ceil <500ft: 2.3%

Ceil <1000ft: 6.2%

Ceil <3000ft: 26.2%

Vis <5km: 14.6%

Temp: 6.8-23.7°C

Wind: 4.5kt (max 19.4kt), gusts 36.5kt

CAPE: max 1305 J/kg

Very active convective period — 89–90% of zone precipitating, 6–8 mm/h average, locally over 100 mm/h. Dominant weather code thunderstorms. Ceilings SCT below 3000ft (10–14% of zone), 18–28% below 5000ft. Visibility reduced (2–3% below 5km). Winds averaging 6–8kt, gusts to 44kt in 13–28% of zone. CAPE building to 1800 J/kg. Significant weather in 26–27% of zone. Widespread thunderstorm and heavy rain hazard.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.4%

Ceil <3000ft: 9.8%

Vis <5km: 2.3%

Temp: 8.1-30.7°C

Wind: 7.6kt (max 25.3kt), gusts 44.4kt

CAPE: max 1816 J/kg

Extremely active — 92–93% of zone precipitating, 9–11 mm/h average, locally 121–131 mm/h. Ceilings SCT below 3000ft (7–8% of zone). Visibility reduced (3–4% below 5km). Winds averaging 7–8kt, locally 27–33kt; gusts to 64kt in 29–38% of zone — DANGEROUS gust levels. CAPE 1900–2200 J/kg. Significant weather in 28–32% of zone. Severe convective hazard; avoid flight if possible.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 6.5%

Vis <5km: 2.5%

Temp: 6.7-30.0°C

Wind: 8.3kt (max 32.5kt), gusts 64.0kt

CAPE: max 2184 J/kg

Extremely heavy precipitation continues — 95% of zone precipitating, averaging 16 mm/h, locally 207 mm/h. Ceilings FEW–SCT below 3000ft (5% of zone). Visibility reduced (3–5% below 5km). Winds averaging 7kt southerly, locally 26kt; gusts to 53kt in 30% of zone. CAPE 1873 J/kg with 28% of zone above 500 J/kg. Significant weather in 9% of zone. Severe ongoing convective/rain event; conditions expected to gradually ease later.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.7%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 10.5-29.7°C

Wind: 5.7kt (max 20.6kt), gusts 0.0kt

CAPE: max 3255 J/kg

British Isles ▶

Mostly clear with FEW below 3000ft (96% above). Visibility good. Winds averaging 10kt from SW, locally up to 25kt; gusts to 48–60kt in 39–42% of the zone — dangerous for light aircraft. Thermals active to 2000–2300ft AGL. Isolated convective cells possible (CAPE locally 578–2319 J/kg). Predominantly GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 9.6%

Vis <5km: 0.3%

Temp: 8.2-29.1°C

Wind: 10.5kt (max 24.4kt), gusts 48.0kt

CAPE: max 2261 J/kg

Ceilings lifting further — FEW below 3000ft (95%+ above). Visibility remains good. Winds easing slightly to 7–10kt average, but gusts still 49–60kt in 23–40% of the zone — gust hazard persists. CAPE diminishing. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 4.9%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 8.3-27.2°C

Wind: 9.9kt (max 28.9kt), gusts 59.5kt

CAPE: max 834 J/kg

Mostly clear with FEW below 3000ft (93–97% above). Patchy fog possible in 8% of the zone (dominant WW fog). Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 8% of the zone. Light winds 2–4kt average, gusts to 23–29kt. Conditions generally good but watch for localised fog patches. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie, locally Oscar.

Ceil <500ft: 1.2%

Ceil <1000ft: 1.7%

Ceil <3000ft: 4.7%

Vis <5km: 4.6%

Temp: 7.7-19.1°C

Wind: 2.2kt (max 11.3kt), gusts 23.9kt

Excellent conditions — ceilings well above 3000ft (94–100% above). Visibility very good. Winds 4–7kt average from SSW. Thermals building to 1500–2400ft AGL, CAPE locally up to 3371 J/kg — isolated afternoon convection possible. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 4.3%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 11.4-28.3°C

Wind: 4.9kt (max 13.8kt), gusts 23.9kt

CAPE: max 2373 J/kg

Largely clear — FEW below 3000ft (98%+ above). Visibility good. Winds 6–7kt, gusts to 30–34kt. Precipitation increasing (8–16% of zone), mainly rain. CAPE still elevated locally (up to 3371 J/kg) — isolated thunderstorm risk. Predominantly GAFOR Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 0.9%

Vis <5km: 0.0%

Temp: 8.7-29.5°C

Wind: 7.3kt (max 16.3kt), gusts 33.5kt

CAPE: max 3096 J/kg

Conditions declining as a frontal system approaches. SCT–BKN below 3000ft (77–83% above), SCT–BKN below 5000ft (56–76% above). Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 7% of zone, below 8km in up to 8%. Showers affecting 27% of zone, locally heavy (up to 13mm/h). Winds 5–11kt, gusts to 33–39kt in up to 31% of zone. GAFOR Oscar to Delta.

Ceil <1000ft: 1.4%

Ceil <3000ft: 21.7%

Vis <5km: 4.2%

Temp: 7.4-17.0°C

Wind: 7.2kt (max 18.9kt), gusts 34.1kt

Frontal passage continuing. FEW–SCT below 3000ft (84–94% above), SCT–BKN below 5000ft (56–88% above). Showers widespread (27–68% of zone), locally heavy (up to 16mm/h). Visibility reduced below 5km in up to 5% of zone. Winds 10kt average, gusts to 32–34kt in 31–45% of zone. GAFOR Oscar to Delta.

Ceil <500ft: 0.1%

Ceil <1000ft: 2.3%

Ceil <3000ft: 11.3%

Vis <5km: 4.5%

Temp: 10.9-21.4°C

Wind: 10.2kt (max 18.0kt), gusts 33.2kt

Post-frontal showers continuing (68% of zone affected). FEW below 3000ft (94% above), SCT below 5000ft (88–92% above). Visibility reduced below 5km in 2–4% of zone, below 8km in 3–4%. Winds 9–10kt, gusts to 32–35kt in 23–46% of zone. Conditions trending toward improvement. Predominantly GAFOR Oscar/Charlie.

Ceil <1000ft: 2.3%

Ceil <3000ft: 5.5%

Vis <5km: 2.2%

Temp: 11.5-22.2°C

Wind: 10.1kt (max 20.9kt), gusts 32.4kt

Conditions declining again with approaching low. FEW–SCT below 3000ft (79–87% above), SCT below 5000ft (66–82% above). Rain affecting 70–75% of zone (up to 24mm/h max). Visibility below 5km in 3–6% of zone, below 8km in 4–7%. Winds 5–8kt average, gusts to 32–40kt. Trending toward GAFOR Oscar to Delta.

Ceil <500ft: 0.6%

Ceil <1000ft: 4.1%

Ceil <3000ft: 15.2%

Vis <5km: 4.4%

Temp: 7.3-16.3°C

Wind: 5.6kt (max 16.9kt), gusts 34.0kt

Deteriorating conditions. SCT below 3000ft (74–79% above), SCT–BKN below 5000ft (50–66% above). Rain widespread (75–81% of zone), heavy (up to 25mm/h). Visibility below 5km in 3–6% of zone, below 8km in 4–10%. Winds building to 8–10kt average, gusts to 39–43kt — approaching dangerous threshold for light aircraft. Trending toward GAFOR Delta.

prev: Charlie → Oscar

Ceil <500ft: 0.1%

Ceil <1000ft: 2.3%

Ceil <3000ft: 24.9%

Vis <5km: 4.9%

Temp: 9.8-22.0°C

Wind: 9.1kt (max 23.9kt), gusts 41.0kt

Significant deterioration. BKN below 3000ft (64–68% above), BKN–OVC below 5000ft (41–44% above). Rain affecting nearly all of zone (93–99%), heavy (up to 35mm/h). Visibility below 5km in 5–10% of zone, below 8km in 8–13%. Winds 10kt average, gusts to 31–37kt in 20–30% of zone. Trending toward GAFOR Delta to Mike in places.

Ceil <1000ft: 3.2%

Ceil <3000ft: 32.5%

Vis <5km: 4.9%

Temp: 9.5-22.2°C

Wind: 10.1kt (max 24.5kt), gusts 37.4kt

Significant deterioration. BKN–OVC below 3000ft (30–43% above), BKN–OVC below 5000ft (19–32% above). Low ceilings below 500ft in 14–15% of zone, below 1000ft in 30–40%. Visibility below 5km in 32–48% of zone — widespread poor visibility. Rain affecting entire zone (100%), heavy (up to 47mm/h). Winds 9kt average, gusts to 27–29kt. Trending toward GAFOR Mike to X-Ray in significant portions.

Ceil <500ft: 14.5%

Ceil <1000ft: 40.4%

Ceil <3000ft: 70.3%

Vis <5km: 48.3%

Temp: 10.2-16.5°C

Wind: 8.5kt (max 19.3kt), gusts 26.8kt

Conditions remain very poor. BKN below 3000ft (43–45% above), BKN below 5000ft (32–33% above). Low ceilings below 500ft in 12–14% of zone, below 1000ft in 23–30%. Visibility below 5km in 25–32% of zone. Rain/showers affecting entire zone (100%), heavy (up to 49mm/h). Winds 9–10kt, gusts to 29–39kt. Trending toward GAFOR Delta to Mike broadly.

Ceil <500ft: 12.1%

Ceil <1000ft: 23.2%

Ceil <3000ft: 54.9%

Vis <5km: 25.1%

Temp: 10.0-20.1°C

Wind: 10.1kt (max 23.1kt), gusts 38.7kt

CAPE: max 611 J/kg

Ceil <500ft: 14.1%

Ceil <1000ft: 21.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 40.2%

Vis <5km: 24.4%

Temp: 10.2-19.1°C

Wind: 10.4kt (max 25.0kt), gusts 41.4kt

CAPE: max 726 J/kg

Gradual improvement expected as system moves east. SCT–BKN below 3000ft (61% above), SCT below 5000ft (51% above). Low ceilings below 500ft in 14% of zone, below 1000ft in 18%. Visibility below 5km in 19% of zone. Rain/showers still affecting entire zone (100%), moderate (up to 50mm/h max). Winds 10kt average, gusts to 35kt. Trending toward GAFOR Delta broadly.

Ceil <1000ft: 0.0%

Ceil <3000ft: 19.8%

Vis <5km: 0.1%

Temp: 7.8-27.9°C

Wind: 10.1kt (max 25.5kt), gusts 0.0kt

CAPE: max 1967 J/kg

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